Dapsy

@Dapsy

#3,072,54140

0x73d225c851df25d73b14846a370bdeef9434f9b7

~324d· 2707 markets · 28443 tradesVol: $6,802,653 @Dapsyxbt2026-08-04 18:59:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (1579/2313)19.1/20
0.95x (win $261,234 / loss $274,748)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3400/15
Sortino -0.4010/10
$-0.0041 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 53 (2313 markets)10/10
181/283 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 33208% of peak ($65,510 / $197)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 11.7 entries/market
Whale
$3,283,454 invested
Consistent
181/283 profitable days
High Roller
$9,355/day
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,771$-17,992Vol: $4,775,183
📈 ECONOMICS#10,121$143Vol: $496,548
🎭 CULTURE#816,104$-5,977Vol: $473,970
💰 FINANCE#658,249$-9,620Vol: $445,018
🌤️ WEATHER#299,233$-6,891Vol: $219,380
CRYPTO#1,677,736$-29,412Vol: $185,254
SPORTS#11,935$3,774Vol: $100,996
💻 TECH#612$2,901Vol: $83,574
📢 MENTIONS#175,406$-1,218Vol: $8,432

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-64,148
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,802,653
Total Redeem
$8,101
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2707
total markets
Trades
20199B / 8244S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~324d

Periods

#2
Today
$-591
Vol: $10,708
Week
$-737
Vol: $23,948
Month
$-274
Vol: $29,583
All Time
$-64,148
Vol: $6,802,653

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
1578W / 732L events
Realized PnL
$-64,148
Win Rate
68%
1578W / 732L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$165
Avg Loss
$-383

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,489 (0.38175944004707846% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10,624
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$7,635
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$6,231
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5,182
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$4,385
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3,584
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$2,930
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2,899
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$2,670
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$2,625

Top Losers

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$-26,809
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? $-15,035
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-10,768
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-6,873
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$-6,717
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-6,588
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?$-6,080
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-5,618
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$-5,362
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-4,790

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.018
Sortino
-0.014
HHI
48
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
9.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
81.0
Very active
Markets / Day
7.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.4m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 173s — normal for humanCV 2.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock81 trades/day — mass trading7.7 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.74
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.9%
High (>55c)88.9%

Sessions

#12
2/24/2026, 4:42:54 PM4 trades$36,5444 min
2/27/2026, 4:33:52 AM1 trades$25,0360 min
4/29/2026, 8:48:30 PM81 trades$24,22838 min
4/7/2026, 2:25:27 PM48 trades$22,75057 min
5/5/2026, 10:53:12 PM30 trades$19,2098 min
3/23/2026, 10:36:37 PM45 trades$15,93239 min
5/6/2026, 11:25:40 AM58 trades$14,99947 min
3/23/2026, 9:30:49 PM66 trades$14,67449 min
2/26/2026, 1:53:46 PM5 trades$14,55110 min
4/9/2026, 7:21:05 PM13 trades$13,8757 min
3/4/2026, 4:16:51 PM26 trades$12,70124 min
4/7/2026, 4:50:33 PM32 trades$12,65130 min
4/7/2026, 4:48:23 AM8 trades$12,56211 min
2/12/2026, 10:45:03 AM7 trades$12,2278 min
4/1/2026, 8:24:03 PM35 trades$12,00236 min
12/25/2025, 2:50:15 AM6 trades$11,42313 min
4/28/2026, 1:33:42 PM8 trades$11,4044 min
4/17/2026, 4:25:22 PM11 trades$11,2810 min
4/8/2026, 6:55:33 PM16 trades$11,0155 min
2/25/2026, 2:08:48 PM20 trades$10,91823 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-19
11-13
01-08
03-02
04-22
06-11
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 254 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M6.9 / H88.9