@underwaterdruid
#591,539400x73e0ccf58caf8a62eeb2970645dce32d0978e538
~52d· 321 markets · 935 tradesVol: $67,4762026-08-06 07:54:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
75% (234/312)20/20
0.49x (win $101 / loss $207)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4160/15
Sortino -4.4360/10
$-0.0114 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 79 (312 markets)10/10
37/48 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($136 / $0)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+6
Consistent
37/48 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🌤️ WEATHER#282,597$-80Vol: $53,867
🎭 CULTURE#23,021$84Vol: $13,599
💰 FINANCE#281,162$0Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$4
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,476
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
321
total markets
Trades
590B / 345S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $1,864
Week
$45
Vol: $21,769
Month
$15
Vol: $23,764
All Time
$4
Vol: $67,476
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
75%
234W / 78L events
Realized PnL
$6
Win Rate
75%
234W / 78L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (6.2395644283121605% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13?$12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$9
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?$8
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$7
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 21?$7
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 17?$3
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 1?$3
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 19?$3
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 17?$2
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$-19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$-15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 19?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$-10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$-8
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.229
Sortino
-0.149
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.0
Active
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 817s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active4.5 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.7%
Mid (20-55c)2.9%
High (>55c)87.5%
Sessions
#128/5/2026, 3:11:12 PM6 trades$5001 min
8/5/2026, 4:53:48 AM19 trades$4833 min
8/5/2026, 3:04:53 PM10 trades$4101 min
8/5/2026, 10:57:35 PM8 trades$3801 min
7/18/2026, 5:00:07 PM37 trades$3601 min
8/5/2026, 10:02:23 PM14 trades$3141 min
8/2/2026, 4:56:17 AM14 trades$2801 min
8/5/2026, 3:36:45 PM12 trades$2601 min
7/18/2026, 6:55:04 PM23 trades$25214 min
8/6/2026, 6:13:50 AM7 trades$2380 min
8/3/2026, 2:36:03 PM8 trades$2306 min
8/3/2026, 6:06:44 AM6 trades$2001 min
7/27/2026, 10:00:12 AM19 trades$1931 min
8/4/2026, 10:12:59 PM10 trades$1800 min
8/5/2026, 4:33:15 AM5 trades$1801 min
6/7/2026, 8:40:48 PM2 trades$1390 min
7/29/2026, 10:00:15 AM14 trades$1361 min
7/27/2026, 5:00:12 AM12 trades$1202 min
7/26/2026, 7:25:21 PM6 trades$1201 min
7/27/2026, 7:18:00 AM4 trades$1200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-29
06-12
06-26
07-10
07-21
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
36% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.7 / M2.9 / H87.5