Polydata

@MusakaKing

#176,76065

0x7727f91b52d26a2ff22130434a9e9c39d52315a4

~72d· 63 markets · 675 tradesVol: $53,4112026-07-31 11:58:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (27/52)11/20
1.50x (win $11,933 / loss $7,976)8.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.64615/15
Sortino 2.48310/10
$+0.1367 per $1 invested6.8/10
HHI 803 (52 markets)8.5/10
17/34 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 129% of peak ($5,109 / $3,957)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+192
DCA Master
Avg 10.9 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#45,464$192Vol: $53,411

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$192
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,411
Total Redeem
$1,435
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
274B / 401S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$107
Vol: $5,251
Month
$1,824
Vol: $18,642
All Time
$192
Vol: $53,411

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
52%
27W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$192
Win Rate
52%
27W / 25L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$442
Avg Loss
$-319

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,039 (46.97121180627728% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?$4,993
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$2,501
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$1,545
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?$563
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$545
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$527
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$296
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31?$230
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$195
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$119

Top Losers

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?$-4,798
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?$-1,500
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$-517
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-516
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$-169
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$-142
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$-136
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$-51
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$-28
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.085
Sortino
0.096
HHI
798
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.141
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
54%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1998s — normal for humanCV 3.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.5%
Mid (20-55c)28.5%
High (>55c)50%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 7:03:55 AM26 trades$3,2530 min
5/5/2026, 8:28:40 PM10 trades$2,7850 min
7/29/2026, 10:07:47 PM13 trades$2,7340 min
7/10/2026, 3:11:34 PM11 trades$2,4710 min
7/8/2026, 2:42:32 PM26 trades$2,2720 min
7/14/2026, 2:07:38 PM23 trades$2,1443 min
5/22/2026, 12:58:52 AM22 trades$2,0690 min
4/23/2026, 3:14:32 PM17 trades$2,0380 min
7/29/2026, 10:36:27 PM1 trades$1,8180 min
5/21/2026, 9:05:04 PM16 trades$1,7590 min
7/14/2026, 2:22:47 PM7 trades$1,7434 min
3/24/2026, 4:34:03 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
4/24/2026, 1:45:24 PM2 trades$1,1360 min
5/22/2026, 3:29:17 PM15 trades$1,12714 min
4/20/2026, 4:44:18 PM11 trades$1,0942 min
6/23/2026, 2:03:56 PM11 trades$7680 min
7/22/2026, 8:57:13 PM13 trades$7614 min
5/15/2026, 3:24:30 PM10 trades$7010 min
7/14/2026, 8:02:38 PM1 trades$5290 min
5/30/2026, 7:28:18 PM23 trades$4400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
03-01
03-24
04-24
05-20
06-15
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.5 / M28.5 / H50