@0x779acaf3a40131bf21bb0ca9741dce3f528f590b

#2,110,9695

0x779acaf3a40131bf21bb0ca9741dce3f528f590b

~32d· 69 markets · 519 tradesVol: $60,5082026-08-02 04:12:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (14/59)0/20
0.65x (win $553 / loss $849)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8630/15
Sortino -4.2380/10
$-0.1031 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1577 (59 markets)4.6/10
7/25 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 257% of peak ($485 / $189)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#634,237$-116Vol: $24,573
🏛️ POLITICS#1,342,115$-16Vol: $20,974
SPORTS#108,966$124Vol: $12,874
📈 ECONOMICS#612,278$-14Vol: $2,087

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$60,508
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
211B / 308S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Week
$-25
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-22
Vol: $60,508

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
14W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-22
Win Rate
24%
14W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $369 (16.760326827054016% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$204
Will AC Monza win on 2026-05-19?$105
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$61
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?$48
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$48
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$16
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?$6
Will Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw?$5

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-191
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$-116
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?$-42
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$-38
Will US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?$-37
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?$-33
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$-26
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.147
Sortino
-0.227
HHI
1289
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.123
Kelly %
2.0%
Half-Kelly
1.0%
Top-1 market
33.8%
Top-5 markets
53.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 2.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.9%
High (>55c)22.3%

Sessions

#12
4/21/2026, 7:44:58 PM26 trades$2,83110 min
7/19/2026, 7:24:46 PM3 trades$6350 min
7/14/2026, 9:03:01 PM10 trades$6030 min
7/14/2026, 7:23:52 PM4 trades$5841 min
7/15/2026, 8:31:02 PM13 trades$4591 min
7/27/2026, 5:11:04 PM12 trades$3631 min
4/21/2026, 1:43:24 PM10 trades$3142 min
6/29/2026, 6:40:37 PM4 trades$2161 min
7/7/2026, 5:31:10 PM6 trades$2070 min
5/1/2026, 7:07:58 AM10 trades$2064 min
6/29/2026, 5:17:52 PM2 trades$2060 min
4/30/2026, 10:24:28 AM6 trades$2052 min
7/21/2026, 10:08:46 AM17 trades$2003 min
5/6/2026, 8:58:05 PM14 trades$1937 min
5/30/2026, 4:10:51 PM3 trades$1650 min
4/29/2026, 5:39:26 PM6 trades$1505 min
4/21/2026, 1:24:48 PM11 trades$1471 min
4/26/2026, 11:22:02 AM16 trades$1458 min
5/3/2026, 8:15:06 AM6 trades$1361 min
7/3/2026, 3:06:38 AM2 trades$1300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
04-26
04-30
05-11
06-03
06-29
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 69 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.73/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.8 / M19.9 / H22.3