@ouyyt

#1,895,70014

0x77b44a4bf6ef4321082b2f22d8e191fe13429476

~29d· 60 markets · 154 tradesVol: $11,5812026-08-26 09:56:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (17/47)3.1/20
0.20x (win $5 / loss $24)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3350/15
Sortino -5.1550/10
$-0.0032 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1313 (47 markets)5.9/10
10/20 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 14777% of peak ($19 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#275,849$0Vol: $2,974
📈 ECONOMICS#471,501$-1Vol: $2,734
SPORTS#1,007,141$-1Vol: $2,595
CRYPTO#1,123,490$-8Vol: $2,120
🏛️ POLITICS#835,037$-1Vol: $1,077
💰 FINANCE#360,089$-0Vol: $80

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,581
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
81B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $6
Month
$-2
Vol: $19
All Time
$-11
Vol: $11,581

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
17W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-11
Win Rate
36%
17W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (0.26162260711030083% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$0
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$0
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?$0
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0

Top Losers

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$-17
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?$-1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-1
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-1
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$-0
Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-0
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-0
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 8?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.272
Sortino
-0.201
HHI
1717
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
15.9%
Half-Kelly
8.0%
Top-1 market
29.8%
Top-5 markets
79.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
35.7m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 2.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.26
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.5%
High (>55c)91.4%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 3:07:13 AM5 trades$2,6644 min
2/28/2026, 2:53:01 AM4 trades$1,6731 min
3/7/2026, 1:30:39 PM4 trades$1,3062 min
3/7/2026, 1:47:03 PM2 trades$1,2801 min
2/28/2026, 2:43:23 AM3 trades$8931 min
3/7/2026, 1:24:41 PM2 trades$6541 min
3/7/2026, 1:40:17 PM2 trades$6520 min
1/4/2026, 8:18:01 AM8 trades$4004 min
1/13/2026, 3:37:49 PM7 trades$38312 min
1/4/2026, 7:19:45 AM6 trades$2232 min
1/4/2026, 8:28:07 AM2 trades$2210 min
6/30/2026, 8:19:02 AM7 trades$2182 min
11/27/2025, 2:59:55 AM4 trades$1491 min
6/30/2026, 9:01:50 AM6 trades$790 min
1/13/2026, 3:29:03 PM3 trades$783 min
11/26/2025, 3:22:31 PM3 trades$751 min
11/27/2025, 3:13:19 AM1 trades$690 min
6/30/2026, 8:43:10 AM3 trades$580 min
1/19/2026, 4:37:24 PM3 trades$501 min
1/19/2026, 4:54:58 PM3 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
01-04
01-28
02-28
03-31
04-12
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 204 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M2.5 / H91.4