@crying-duck

#58,17662

0x786a0607d5db2dbc37d0571fe6b3ac7b1a6094a7

~155d· 34 markets · 52235 tradesVol: $2,299,8742026-08-02 05:22:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (6/21)0/20
2.05x (win $4,537 / loss $2,209)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.07215/15
Sortino 11.43610/10
$+0.0717 per $1 invested3.6/10
HHI 842 (21 markets)8.3/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($1,363 / $3,691)6.6/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,723
Lottery Player
93% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#5,635$848Vol: $1,583,530
🏛️ POLITICS#19,548$875Vol: $716,344

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,723
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,299,874
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
32402B / 19833S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~155d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-22
Vol: $0
Month
$-14
Vol: $595
All Time
$1,723
Vol: $2,299,874

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
6W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$1,723
Win Rate
29%
6W / 15L
Profit Factor
2.05x
Avg Win
$756
Avg Loss
$-147

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,511 (2.6184616813316923% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$4,291
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?$183
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$37
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$19
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$4
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$3

Top Losers

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?$-934
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-282
Will France win Eurovision 2026?$-206
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?$-193
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$-149
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?$-147
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$-99
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$-54
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$-40
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.153
Sortino
0.618
HHI
258
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.130
Kelly %
11.1%
Half-Kelly
5.5%
Top-1 market
9.9%
Top-5 markets
30%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
330.6
Very active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
52 min
Avg Trades / Session
109.1

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 3.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock331 trades/day — automation0.2 markets/day — normal100% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1585.95
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)93.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)6.7%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 7:23:31 AM5 trades$5520 min
3/4/2026, 2:50:53 AM270 trades$418174 min
4/1/2026, 5:42:29 AM7 trades$3455 min
5/7/2026, 6:08:21 AM4 trades$2983 min
7/16/2026, 12:36:23 PM133 trades$2756 min
3/4/2026, 10:35:41 PM207 trades$273108 min
7/16/2026, 12:50:46 PM105 trades$24527 min
3/4/2026, 8:12:27 PM213 trades$238123 min
3/7/2026, 2:58:15 PM186 trades$19065 min
3/18/2026, 8:35:53 PM154 trades$18787 min
3/7/2026, 4:15:03 PM176 trades$18482 min
3/4/2026, 10:20:27 AM119 trades$17571 min
3/3/2026, 4:35:09 PM139 trades$17577 min
3/25/2026, 3:34:41 PM175 trades$16984 min
4/28/2026, 5:51:08 PM26 trades$15120 min
3/2/2026, 1:50:15 PM188 trades$15079 min
3/9/2026, 9:25:43 AM296 trades$15099 min
3/23/2026, 7:02:03 PM109 trades$14837 min
3/8/2026, 10:37:05 AM255 trades$13972 min
3/4/2026, 2:04:11 AM77 trades$13138 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
04-25
05-02
05-07
05-08
05-10
05-11
05-12
05-13
05-15
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 1585.95/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L93.3 / M0 / H6.7