@HongKongMenace

#2,57692

0x791976e861822c1f6d13f719d2c80e8deb9b72b2

~48d· 61 markets · 1264 tradesVol: $2,094,4532026-08-02 05:22:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (40/47)20/20
6.09x (win $125,548 / loss $20,623)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.64715/15
Sortino 34.12110/10
$+0.0671 per $1 invested3.4/10
HHI 715 (47 markets)8.9/10
22/26 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($9,240 / $104,925)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+72,281
DCA Master
Avg 17.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,563,971 invested
Consistent
22/26 profitable days
High Roller
$6,951/day
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#861$58,701Vol: $1,800,641
SPORTS#1,746,462$-221Vol: $133,400
📈 ECONOMICS#616$10,143Vol: $132,462
CRYPTO#12,724$3,657Vol: $27,951

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$72,281
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,094,453
Total Redeem
$128,108
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
61
total markets
Trades
468B / 796S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6,450
Vol: $0
Week
$10,312
Vol: $0
Month
$-9,786
Vol: $20,810
All Time
$72,281
Vol: $2,094,453

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
40W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$72,281
Win Rate
85%
40W / 7L
Profit Factor
6.09x
Avg Win
$3,139
Avg Loss
$-2,946

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $67,635 (0.9357302126577508% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$38,506
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$16,127
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13,003
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$9,926
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$8,281
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$7,074
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6,507
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4,559
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$4,483
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,920

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-9,240
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$-6,855
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-2,765
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-709
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-610
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?$-307
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$-137

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.444
Sortino
0.888
HHI
669
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.6%
Top-5 markets
45.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.4m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 140s — normal for humanCV 2.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.43
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)89.1%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 4:41:05 PM61 trades$241,7810 min
6/27/2026, 7:25:22 AM20 trades$136,5464 min
4/27/2026, 3:11:40 PM2 trades$79,7890 min
6/22/2026, 6:31:22 AM71 trades$66,6335 min
2/28/2026, 10:46:41 PM29 trades$63,08918 min
4/25/2026, 7:04:40 PM41 trades$62,0213 min
7/11/2026, 7:51:16 PM38 trades$57,6720 min
4/25/2026, 6:55:50 PM33 trades$46,8061 min
2/15/2026, 7:48:13 PM2 trades$43,1881 min
7/31/2026, 7:34:53 PM7 trades$40,6510 min
2/28/2026, 11:26:09 PM1 trades$39,9200 min
12/20/2025, 8:19:05 PM2 trades$39,3205 min
2/12/2026, 3:06:25 PM1 trades$36,9890 min
1/20/2026, 11:17:50 AM7 trades$36,3058 min
7/22/2026, 2:24:03 AM5 trades$34,5600 min
3/1/2026, 12:35:37 AM2 trades$33,1243 min
3/20/2026, 5:44:43 PM2 trades$31,5291 min
1/17/2026, 6:58:22 PM7 trades$29,7016 min
5/23/2026, 12:59:14 AM21 trades$28,9357 min
8/1/2026, 2:31:15 PM30 trades$27,3450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-22
02-09
03-01
03-20
05-14
06-27
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.6 / M1.3 / H89.1