@LemonBrothers

#3,049,16635

0x7b05f8e36980dffe4d784edf664970e623956180

~235d· 148 markets · 1805 tradesVol: $615,086 @Molodoy_ukrop2026-08-04 23:28:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (71/115)15.9/20
0.95x (win $46,572 / loss $49,047)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1650/15
Sortino -0.2280/10
$-0.0100 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 457 (115 markets)10/10
48/79 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 698% of peak ($35,949 / $5,154)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 10.7 entries/market
Whale
$248,403 invested
Consistent
48/79 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#13,459$1,584Vol: $338,871
CRYPTO#1,672,867$-9,180Vol: $245,728
📈 ECONOMICS#9,353$163Vol: $14,401
SPORTS#33,827$1,190Vol: $11,495
🎭 CULTURE#40,934$29Vol: $4,260
💻 TECH#198,226$-2Vol: $235
💰 FINANCE#595,784$-20Vol: $95

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,235
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$615,086
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
148
total markets
Trades
1304B / 501S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~235d

Periods

#2
Today
$-855
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,210
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,002
Vol: $0
All Time
$-6,235
Vol: $615,086

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
71W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-6,235
Win Rate
62%
71W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$656
Avg Loss
$-1,141

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,518 (4.7341934159414665% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$21,000
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6,529
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?$1,989
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1,500
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?$1,326
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?$1,045
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?$904
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?$797
Will Usyk beat Fury?$794
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$780

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-20,645
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-11,794
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-3,577
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-1,983
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-1,329
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,318
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-1,100
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$-1,000
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-787
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-656

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.009
Sortino
-0.008
HHI
510
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
39.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1192s — normal for humanCV 4.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.75
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.5%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)37.7%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 7:46:56 AM37 trades$27,2081 min
3/31/2026, 1:08:51 PM5 trades$14,0923 min
5/8/2026, 6:21:40 PM22 trades$13,4882 min
4/28/2026, 1:51:56 PM24 trades$12,13015 min
4/7/2026, 11:05:25 AM43 trades$10,9312 min
12/10/2025, 3:35:02 PM1 trades$10,8090 min
5/27/2026, 3:07:37 AM1 trades$10,3110 min
5/26/2026, 2:28:48 PM2 trades$10,0940 min
3/11/2026, 10:15:25 AM1 trades$9,2000 min
3/23/2026, 12:52:45 PM3 trades$7,1223 min
4/7/2026, 12:59:07 PM1 trades$6,1590 min
1/22/2026, 9:28:18 AM2 trades$6,0830 min
3/30/2026, 6:27:43 PM1 trades$5,8060 min
5/26/2026, 11:39:49 AM2 trades$5,1500 min
11/2/2025, 9:28:17 AM2 trades$5,1202 min
6/8/2026, 11:23:40 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
3/21/2026, 8:08:35 PM1 trades$4,9450 min
11/11/2025, 9:49:02 AM1 trades$4,2650 min
4/22/2026, 11:42:36 AM12 trades$3,8560 min
3/30/2026, 9:27:50 AM1 trades$3,6000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-12
10-17
12-13
01-22
03-09
04-22
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 74 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.75/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.5 / M30.8 / H37.7