Metodex

@Metodex

#2,689,73328

0x7bfee1d157e2995eef20f8379ec6c02d677caa01

~62d· 207 markets · 1801 tradesVol: $258,829 @Crip1342026-09-09 16:22:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (81/204)4.9/20
1.02x (win $7,593 / loss $7,434)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2023.8/15
Sortino 0.2942.9/10
$+0.0075 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 346 (204 markets)10/10
20/45 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 126% of peak ($1,725 / $1,368)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,659,202$-1,020Vol: $124,320
🌤️ WEATHER#294,922$-137Vol: $68,555
🏛️ POLITICS#1,562,251$-153Vol: $62,824
💰 FINANCE#3,382$1,368Vol: $2,412
🎭 CULTURE#805,174$-199Vol: $718

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-142
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$258,829
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
207
total markets
Trades
1560B / 241S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-61
Vol: $0
Month
$-59
Vol: $0
All Time
$-142
Vol: $258,829

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
81W / 123L events
Realized PnL
$-71
Win Rate
40%
81W / 123L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$94
Avg Loss
$-61

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,873 (40.60593639575971% of PnL)

Top Winners

LayerZero airdrop in 2023?$1,368
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$775
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?$730
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 7?$683
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on February 25?$518
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$465
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$416
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 3?$285
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$203
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 2?$178

Top Losers

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-2,076
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$-1,062
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?$-509
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 7?$-355
US government shutdown Saturday?$-217
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-210
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9?$-206
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?$-150
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 25?$-136
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 1?$-134

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.010
Sortino
0.013
HHI
330
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
33.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.4m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 5.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.58
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.5%
Mid (20-55c)35%
High (>55c)4.5%

Sessions

#12
2/24/2026, 12:55:36 PM2 trades$1,6854 min
1/21/2026, 10:35:50 AM2 trades$1,6262 min
1/18/2026, 8:33:46 AM1 trades$1,5000 min
12/30/2025, 7:02:23 AM1 trades$1,2690 min
3/14/2026, 7:00:25 PM2 trades$1,1875 min
3/17/2026, 9:18:23 AM2 trades$1,1211 min
12/29/2025, 11:54:05 PM1 trades$9970 min
2/17/2026, 10:00:03 AM3 trades$9835 min
2/17/2026, 10:12:49 AM2 trades$9143 min
2/23/2026, 9:24:42 PM4 trades$7587 min
12/23/2025, 9:29:01 PM3 trades$7323 min
3/7/2026, 12:24:41 PM43 trades$71938 min
3/2/2026, 10:03:49 AM4 trades$7047 min
3/17/2026, 8:23:37 AM1 trades$6810 min
2/24/2026, 9:17:04 AM1 trades$6240 min
2/3/2026, 7:13:36 AM3 trades$5787 min
2/24/2026, 10:27:34 AM3 trades$5651 min
8/6/2026, 4:46:29 PM21 trades$5621 min
12/28/2025, 6:49:47 PM1 trades$4940 min
11/6/2023, 7:41:22 PM1 trades$4560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
01-20
02-03
02-19
02-26
03-05
03-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 833 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
68% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.58/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.5 / M35 / H4.5