@cervlord

#2,798,7846

0x7cdc0a3bda5e11762a12a20422f2dfb39bdf5759

~25d· 31 markets · 125 tradesVol: $15,5502026-08-04 18:56:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (4/16)0/20
0.57x (win $314 / loss $549)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3790/15
Sortino -5.7380/10
$-0.1008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1324 (16 markets)5.9/10
2/9 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 303% of peak ($370 / $122)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,406,219$-26Vol: $11,223
🎭 CULTURE#801,656$-331Vol: $3,550
📈 ECONOMICS#42,062$10Vol: $477
₿ CRYPTO#245,795$9Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-338
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,550
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
56B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-16
Vol: $0
Month
$-112
Vol: $0
All Time
$-338
Vol: $15,550

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
4W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-338
Win Rate
25%
4W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $312 (0.9209694103738731% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by March 31?$284
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$17
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$10
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $2

Top Losers

Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?$-120
Will John Stirling die in Bridgerton: Season 4?$-116
Macron out by June 30, 2026?$-100
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?$-80
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?$-50
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?$-25
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?$-20
Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28?$-15
Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?$-12
Will Trump and JD Vance only be photographed together during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.216
Sortino
-0.345
HHI
100
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.334
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
47.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2868s — normal for humanCV 0.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.4%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)32.1%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 8:22:42 PM20 trades$8567 min
7/17/2026, 7:32:54 AM5 trades$5000 min
7/26/2026, 12:23:55 PM4 trades$1890 min
7/26/2026, 5:53:57 PM8 trades$1720 min
7/22/2026, 10:05:46 AM2 trades$1600 min
7/26/2026, 5:30:04 PM3 trades$1540 min
7/28/2026, 5:09:56 PM4 trades$1520 min
2/25/2026, 10:16:20 AM4 trades$1473 min
7/22/2026, 7:05:57 PM3 trades$1400 min
7/26/2026, 1:21:21 PM4 trades$1390 min
7/22/2026, 8:30:13 AM4 trades$1360 min
2/25/2026, 3:47:04 AM3 trades$1172 min
2/20/2026, 9:31:10 PM2 trades$1002 min
2/24/2026, 4:21:50 AM1 trades$900 min
2/21/2026, 3:32:14 AM1 trades$820 min
4/27/2026, 6:31:46 AM4 trades$810 min
5/7/2026, 8:41:18 AM5 trades$760 min
7/3/2026, 11:44:41 AM1 trades$650 min
2/25/2026, 5:20:40 AM2 trades$601 min
2/17/2026, 8:07:37 AM1 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
02-21
02-22
02-23
02-24
02-25
02-26
03-02
03-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.4 / M12.5 / H32.1