Decayer

@Decayer

#3,77538

0x7d26d98cd61a2de8ce4a37a05cf9537ec85fa7d1

~354d· 513 markets · 6224 tradesVol: $2,042,399 @themojo_2026-08-02 05:27:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (196/395)9.8/20
1.08x (win $79,996 / loss $74,352)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2634.9/15
Sortino 0.3693.7/10
$+0.0097 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 124 (395 markets)10/10
96/186 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 120% of peak ($41,334 / $34,512)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+46,652
DCA Master
Avg 10.9 entries/market
Whale
$580,316 invested
High Roller
$1,365/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#870$46,143Vol: $1,687,903
🏛️ POLITICS#168,994$10Vol: $116,192
💰 FINANCE#2,284$2,047Vol: $107,538
💻 TECH#3,695$225Vol: $60,667
🎭 CULTURE#806,322$-581Vol: $29,634
📈 ECONOMICS#675,600$-569Vol: $15,175
SPORTS#1,704,982$-131Vol: $10,128
📢 MENTIONS#171,265$-316Vol: $5,369
🌤️ WEATHER#219,101$-3Vol: $29

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$46,652
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,042,399
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
513
total markets
Trades
3145B / 3079S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~354d

Periods

#2
Today
$111
Vol: $0
Week
$3,634
Vol: $0
Month
$368
Vol: $0
All Time
$46,652
Vol: $2,042,399

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
196W / 199L events
Realized PnL
$46,652
Win Rate
50%
196W / 199L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$408
Avg Loss
$-406

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,384 (0.5226779468533951% of PnL)

Top Winners

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10,351
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$7,947
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$6,086
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$4,769
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$4,494
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$4,265
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$3,305
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2,246
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$1,891
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1,437

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-13,568
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-13,039
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-6,323
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-5,280
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-4,330
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-2,944
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-2,398
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,183
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?$-1,495
Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?$-1,328

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.014
Sortino
0.014
HHI
68
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
12.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 714s — normal for humanCV 1.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.95
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13%
Mid (20-55c)36.9%
High (>55c)50%

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 5:05:27 PM19 trades$11,9111 min
6/1/2026, 12:18:22 PM10 trades$10,2651 min
2/23/2026, 3:32:30 PM1 trades$8,3910 min
7/21/2026, 10:39:43 AM44 trades$7,6541 min
2/17/2026, 10:52:35 PM7 trades$7,18715 min
6/1/2026, 2:14:37 PM14 trades$7,0171 min
2/20/2026, 7:08:12 PM2 trades$6,8991 min
6/28/2026, 9:42:01 PM2 trades$6,4280 min
5/30/2026, 1:47:26 AM14 trades$6,0726 min
4/2/2026, 3:00:25 PM2 trades$6,0630 min
2/4/2026, 11:36:19 PM3 trades$5,8934 min
12/11/2025, 12:41:45 PM5 trades$5,6615 min
5/22/2026, 3:54:34 PM6 trades$5,5980 min
4/25/2026, 12:54:00 AM3 trades$5,3040 min
9/16/2025, 2:02:02 PM6 trades$5,00011 min
4/28/2026, 9:14:06 PM3 trades$5,0000 min
4/29/2026, 12:28:54 AM5 trades$4,8440 min
4/19/2026, 6:54:58 PM3 trades$4,8340 min
6/22/2026, 2:58:17 PM2 trades$4,4330 min
2/13/2026, 3:16:37 PM1 trades$4,4000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
09-22
11-19
12-31
02-28
05-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 53 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13 / M36.9 / H50