@AF2028

#3,071,68818

0x7d56d84778fc6caa66f517be0ebe1df5d9f54950

~101d· 34 markets · 3335 tradesVol: $5,242,1682026-08-03 18:32:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (12/25)9/20
0.47x (win $61,874 / loss $132,574)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7110/15
Sortino -4.1250/10
$-0.2626 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1639 (25 markets)4.3/10
9/18 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 573% of peak ($85,657 / $14,957)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 17.7 entries/market
Whale
$269,249 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,382$-77,257Vol: $5,220,721
🎭 CULTURE#818,051$-7,764Vol: $20,107
SPORTS#1,724,170$-165Vol: $1,340

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-85,186
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,242,168
Total Redeem
$23,509
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
1735B / 1600S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~101d

Periods

#2
Month
$-1,784
Vol: $894,166
All Time
$-85,186
Vol: $5,242,168

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
12W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-76,772
Win Rate
48%
12W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$5,156
Avg Loss
$-11,048

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,348 (0.6948869113057432% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$19,342
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$17,390
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$16,616
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$3,550
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$1,908
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1,191
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$743
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$376
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?$301
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$301

Top Losers

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-51,200
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$-37,591
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-18,035
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-13,207
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-5,553
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-2,014
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$-1,758
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$-1,339
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$-1,000
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$-750

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.189
Sortino
-0.170
HHI
601
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.392
Kelly %
3.6%
Half-Kelly
1.8%
Top-1 market
14%
Top-5 markets
49.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 5.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.1 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.68
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)90.5%
Mid (20-55c)6.3%
High (>55c)3.2%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 8:14:35 PM42 trades$57,8510 min
4/30/2026, 10:24:06 AM47 trades$48,1502 min
4/26/2026, 4:11:58 PM57 trades$45,70111 min
4/29/2026, 11:26:42 AM17 trades$34,3432 min
4/26/2026, 5:45:36 PM24 trades$34,0395 min
4/26/2026, 4:04:12 PM21 trades$31,4400 min
3/1/2026, 6:45:19 PM13 trades$24,60011 min
4/24/2026, 6:59:26 PM81 trades$20,9596 min
4/21/2026, 11:34:10 AM182 trades$20,1861 min
8/2/2026, 12:40:48 PM108 trades$19,0843 min
4/29/2026, 11:39:12 AM81 trades$17,36510 min
3/1/2026, 3:02:27 PM2 trades$14,5590 min
4/25/2026, 12:30:30 PM21 trades$14,2610 min
5/15/2026, 8:25:02 AM59 trades$11,7444 min
2/23/2026, 5:32:06 PM1 trades$11,2940 min
3/1/2026, 7:54:33 PM26 trades$9,73325 min
2/22/2026, 10:40:40 AM6 trades$8,7003 min
5/1/2026, 10:41:42 AM27 trades$7,5700 min
3/2/2026, 9:09:47 PM3 trades$7,1001 min
4/22/2026, 1:23:58 AM64 trades$6,7830 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
11-12
02-22
03-01
04-26
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.68/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.5 / M6.3 / H3.2