@AF2028
#3,151,768140x7d56d84778fc6caa66f517be0ebe1df5d9f54950
~103d· 34 markets · 3428 tradesVol: $5,711,9982026-09-20 21:03:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (12/25)9/20
0.32x (win $61,874 / loss $190,727)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7820/15
Sortino -4.9110/10
$-0.4748 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2487 (25 markets)0.1/10
9/18 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 962% of peak ($143,809 / $14,957)0/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
88% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 22.4 entries/market
Whale
$271,405 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,662,627$-76,600Vol: $5,526,859
📈 ECONOMICS#698,485$-6,008Vol: $163,692
🎭 CULTURE#829,895$-7,764Vol: $20,107
⚽ SPORTS#1,751,824$-165Vol: $1,340
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-90,537
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,711,998
Total Redeem
$23,509
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
1786B / 1642S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~103d
Periods
#2Week
$4,837
Vol: $0
Month
$1,915
Vol: $95,838
All Time
$-90,537
Vol: $5,711,998
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
12W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-77,354
Win Rate
48%
12W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$5,156
Avg Loss
$-15,894
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53,348 (0.6896588367338654% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$19,342
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$17,390
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$16,616
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$3,550
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$1,908
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1,191
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$743
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$376
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?$301
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$301
Top Losers
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-102,400
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$-37,591
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-18,035
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-13,207
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-11,106
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$-2,679
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-2,014
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$-1,758
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$-1,000
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$-750
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.243
Sortino
-0.195
HHI
1102
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.577
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.8%
Top-5 markets
62.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.4
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 5.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.1 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
22.44
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)88.1%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)5.8%
Sessions
#124/1/2026, 8:14:35 PM42 trades$57,8510 min
4/30/2026, 10:24:06 AM47 trades$48,1502 min
4/26/2026, 4:11:58 PM57 trades$45,70111 min
4/29/2026, 11:26:42 AM17 trades$34,3432 min
4/26/2026, 5:45:36 PM24 trades$34,0395 min
4/26/2026, 4:04:12 PM21 trades$31,4400 min
3/1/2026, 6:45:19 PM13 trades$24,60011 min
4/24/2026, 6:59:26 PM81 trades$20,9596 min
4/21/2026, 11:34:10 AM182 trades$20,1861 min
8/2/2026, 12:40:48 PM110 trades$19,1244 min
4/29/2026, 11:39:12 AM81 trades$17,36510 min
3/1/2026, 3:02:27 PM2 trades$14,5590 min
4/25/2026, 12:30:30 PM21 trades$14,2610 min
5/15/2026, 8:25:02 AM59 trades$11,7444 min
2/23/2026, 5:32:06 PM1 trades$11,2940 min
3/1/2026, 7:54:33 PM26 trades$9,73325 min
2/22/2026, 10:40:40 AM6 trades$8,7003 min
5/1/2026, 10:41:42 AM27 trades$7,5700 min
8/5/2026, 9:59:26 PM23 trades$7,4670 min
3/2/2026, 9:09:47 PM3 trades$7,1001 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
11-12
02-22
03-01
04-26
05-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.1 / M6.1 / H5.8