@Aragornnn
#2,619,248230x7e257559fbd39a69e28912f4ef54ae3f7448a08a
~40d· 58 markets · 177 tradesVol: $127,0542026-09-09 23:34:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (23/48)9/20
0.15x (win $26 / loss $177)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3730/15
Sortino -5.1740/10
$-0.0492 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 917 (48 markets)7.9/10
13/24 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 9133% of peak ($159 / $2)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#1,424,407$-51Vol: $107,536
📈 ECONOMICS#584,051$-6Vol: $11,034
🏛️ POLITICS#986,870$-2Vol: $4,562
💰 FINANCE#569,202$-8Vol: $1,998
🌤️ WEATHER#186,617$-1Vol: $808
🎭 CULTURE#479,987$-0Vol: $184
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-105
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$127,054
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
81B / 96S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $36
Month
$-1
Vol: $36
All Time
$-105
Vol: $127,054
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
23W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-102
Win Rate
48%
23W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-8
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20 (0.19280054778440767% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?$1
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$1
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 80 and 90?$0
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?$0
Top Losers
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?$-58
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$-36
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be 90 or more?$-33
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?$-22
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$-12
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$-5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$-4
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$-3
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?$-2
Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.275
Sortino
-0.185
HHI
923
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
64.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 2.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.62
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)86.4%
Sessions
#122/15/2026, 4:16:11 PM2 trades$8051 min
2/17/2026, 9:16:01 AM2 trades$7591 min
2/16/2026, 4:54:57 PM10 trades$7485 min
2/15/2026, 7:18:33 AM4 trades$4326 min
2/14/2026, 11:00:39 AM1 trades$4120 min
2/14/2026, 8:01:21 PM1 trades$4110 min
2/17/2026, 6:59:29 PM1 trades$3770 min
3/21/2026, 4:19:21 PM2 trades$721 min
4/27/2026, 4:46:28 PM7 trades$712 min
4/28/2026, 2:09:48 PM8 trades$684 min
6/28/2026, 5:51:58 PM4 trades$662 min
5/3/2026, 8:38:34 AM8 trades$653 min
4/27/2026, 11:22:06 AM5 trades$641 min
3/21/2026, 1:35:05 PM5 trades$601 min
3/21/2026, 3:12:15 PM4 trades$592 min
5/4/2026, 5:31:26 AM6 trades$551 min
7/1/2026, 1:55:32 PM6 trades$551 min
1/31/2026, 10:48:14 PM2 trades$501 min
3/21/2026, 5:18:33 PM2 trades$451 min
5/3/2026, 4:42:26 PM4 trades$450 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
02-07
02-15
03-21
05-03
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.6 / M0 / H86.4