Polydata

@LucasMeow

#65298

0x7f3c8979d0afa00007bae4747d5347122af05613

708d· 196 markets · 6802 tradesVol: $14,065,5062026-07-20T15:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 94%20/20
Profit Factor 48.72x15/15
Sharpe 0.69013/15
Sortino 24.75510/10
EV $+0.36210/10
HHI 19210/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

LucasMeow is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranking #652 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $310,138.85. Over 672 days, they have executed 6,802 trades across 196 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $14 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $875,784.37, supported by a strong Smart Score of 98/100, placing them in the elite category of Polymarket traders.

LucasMeow’s trading style reflects a preference for selective, high-frequency trades with a relatively low win rate of 30.1%, indicating a willingness to engage in riskier bets that may pay off substantially when successful. Their low sell percentage (7%) and badges such as “Diamond Hands” suggest a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently cashing out. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 0.69 and a profit factor of 0.03 imply moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the zero max drawdown duration indicates effective risk management without prolonged losing streaks.

The key strength of LucasMeow lies in their consistent upward equity trend and disciplined approach, as evidenced by badges like “Sniper” and “Hedger.” Their ability to maintain profitability despite a low win rate shows skill in trade selection and timing. However, the relatively low profit factor and modest Sharpe ratio point to potential vulnerability to market volatility or occasional large losses. Overall, LucasMeow’s performance on Polymarket demonstrates a sophisticated, human-driven strategy balancing risk and reward effectively.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+310,139
Diamond Hands
7% sell
Hedger
avg 3.1 brackets/event
Win Streak
50 wins in a row
Whale
$13,050,622
Consistent
36/38 days
High Roller
$19,421/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

4
CRYPTO#85$302,977Vol: $13,368,406
SPORTS#47,848$683Vol: $317,400
🏛️ POLITICS#6,421$4,816Vol: $310,000
📈 ECONOMICS#2,054$1,662Vol: $69,700

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$310,139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,065,506
Total Redeem
$3,648,048
Portfolio
$875,784
Predictions
196
total markets
Trades
6324B / 478S
Daily Volume
$19,421
Account Age
708d
since Aug 11, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$1,262
Vol: $33,065
Week
$1,262
Vol: $49,959
Month
$17,013
Vol: $709,925
All Time
$310,139
Vol: $14,065,506

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
61W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$287,943
Win Rate
30%
52W / 121L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$4,451
Avg Loss
$-70,211

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$128,618
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?$35,208
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?$9,682
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$9,519
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$6,295
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$5,790
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$5,205
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?$3,135
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$2,923
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?$2,600

Top Losers

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$-888,701
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$-467,571
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-359,710
Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?$-312,483
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$-299,100
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$-297,251
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$-294,854
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?$-274,636
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$-271,695
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$-239,008

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.690
Sortino
24.755
HHI
192
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.362
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
22.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.5m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — typical for humanSize CV 7.24 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness13 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
32.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
26 entries
<=2
41 entries
<=5
64 entries
<=10
95 entries
<=20
127 entries
<=50
168 entries
>50
28 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)2.1%
High (>55c)97.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 2.5%

Other$-8,264,120

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.1
Events covered
64

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
22 brackets
<=2
39 brackets
<=3
47 brackets
<=4
50 brackets
<=5
54 brackets
<=8
60 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/26/2025, 12:05:52 AM2 trades$990 min
3/1/2025, 9:35:06 PM1 trades$1180 min
3/24/2025, 11:00:44 PM19 trades$33,92715 min
3/24/2025, 11:21:44 PM5 trades$11,4655 min
3/24/2025, 11:45:50 PM1 trades$4,8100 min
3/24/2025, 11:53:50 PM1 trades$6,2520 min
3/25/2025, 12:01:04 AM1 trades$8360 min
3/25/2025, 12:10:04 AM1 trades$2660 min
3/25/2025, 12:18:15 AM2 trades$12,9983 min
3/25/2025, 12:39:55 AM3 trades$2,5152 min
3/25/2025, 12:49:20 AM1 trades$7,2670 min
3/25/2025, 1:01:30 AM1 trades$6270 min
3/25/2025, 1:26:06 AM3 trades$5,1071 min
3/25/2025, 3:17:48 AM1 trades$4,2440 min
3/25/2025, 3:46:10 AM2 trades$5521 min
3/25/2025, 10:15:24 AM23 trades$9564 min
3/25/2025, 10:39:48 AM1 trades$50 min
3/25/2025, 10:59:16 AM2 trades$240 min
3/25/2025, 11:10:56 AM1 trades$650 min
3/25/2025, 12:20:42 PM4 trades$3366 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-31
08-22
09-17
01-01
06-01
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.3/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.1 br/event