@msrcap
#3,119,590310x7f7b87578fb5625d0ef3d5521ffb3abb7b9568f3
~54d· 116 markets · 2860 tradesVol: $303,9992026-10-06 13:01:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (58/103)13.2/20
0.57x (win $13,259 / loss $23,265)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6630/15
Sortino -3.7280/10
$-0.0476 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 409 (103 markets)10/10
17/28 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 986% of peak ($11,136 / $1,130)0/10
Badges
6DCA Master
Avg 25.6 entries/market
Whale
$210,362 invested
Consistent
17/28 profitable days
High Roller
$1,323/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#7,842$3,719Vol: $102,713
💰 FINANCE#667,767$-3,760Vol: $45,273
₿ CRYPTO#1,668,692$-983Vol: $42,228
📈 ECONOMICS#698,288$-2,526Vol: $41,292
⚽ SPORTS#133,800$79Vol: $14,372
🎭 CULTURE#816,356$-570Vol: $14,352
🌤️ WEATHER#6,311$121Vol: $5,502
💻 TECH#242,049$-11Vol: $688
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,666
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$303,999
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
979B / 1881S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
Periods
#2Today
$8
Vol: $0
Week
$-216
Vol: $6,200
Month
$-2,789
Vol: $27,200
All Time
$-2,666
Vol: $303,999
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
58W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-2,666
Win Rate
56%
58W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$229
Avg Loss
$-629
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,701 (1.3879510480855421% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1,428
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,253
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1,020
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$881
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$810
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$718
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$613
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?$565
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$500
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$405
Top Losers
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$-9,148
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-5,880
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$-1,765
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$-775
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$-673
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$-450
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$-441
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$-430
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$-398
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$-389
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.188
Sortino
-0.140
HHI
403
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
36.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
18.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
38.4m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
34.8
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
25.55
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)9.3%
High (>55c)84.5%
Sessions
#125/15/2026, 4:37:47 AM11 trades$16,62814 min
4/30/2026, 9:58:32 PM202 trades$13,9009 min
6/18/2026, 4:23:28 PM22 trades$10,1829 min
4/30/2026, 9:53:06 PM2 trades$7,9920 min
5/8/2026, 8:23:54 AM18 trades$7,76211 min
5/1/2026, 6:03:14 AM3 trades$7,5850 min
5/3/2026, 6:12:26 AM17 trades$5,5575 min
5/6/2026, 4:38:20 AM260 trades$5,52617 min
6/17/2026, 10:31:07 AM3 trades$5,2440 min
5/1/2026, 4:27:24 PM1 trades$4,7500 min
7/11/2026, 2:33:28 PM2 trades$4,5150 min
8/4/2026, 10:30:51 PM1 trades$4,4090 min
5/3/2026, 6:34:36 PM42 trades$4,37712 min
5/2/2026, 5:47:00 AM10 trades$4,2416 min
4/30/2026, 10:22:14 PM26 trades$4,0967 min
6/26/2026, 8:05:23 AM29 trades$4,0634 min
5/2/2026, 5:32:46 AM20 trades$3,8022 min
5/1/2026, 10:42:04 AM1 trades$3,7200 min
5/2/2026, 10:38:56 PM2 trades$3,5710 min
8/10/2026, 11:56:18 AM1 trades$3,5200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-04
05-08
05-14
05-28
06-18
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 122 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M9.3 / H84.5