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@0x8039ad26298d7847799899808554474b7fa57421-1774907074123

#1,14949

0x8039ad26298d7847799899808554474b7fa57421

94d· 94 markets · 107 tradesVol: $265,0102026-06-26T20:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 12%0/20
Profit Factor 368.82x15/15
Sharpe 0.2084/15
Sortino 621.07310/10
EV $+367.81910/10
HHI 93310/10
Profit Days 22%0/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

The trader known as 0x8039ad26298d7847799899808554474b7fa57421-1774907074123 is moderately active on Polymarket, having executed 107 trades across 94 markets over 38 days. They hold the rank of #1149 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of approximately $158,864, generated from a total trading volume of $265,010. Despite a solid profit, the trader’s Sharpe ratio of 0.21 and an average Smart Score of 49/100 suggest moderate risk-adjusted returns and consistent but not exceptional performance.

This trader appears to maintain a conservative style with a remarkably high win rate of 100%, indicating precise market selections or a strategy focused on low-risk, high-probability outcomes. Their near-zero sell percentage (1%) and badges like "Diamond Hands" and "Hedger" imply a tendency to hold positions rather than engage in frequent trading. The absence of weather market activity and the diverse spread across many markets reflect a broad but cautious approach, likely favoring stable or contrarian bets rather than speculative, high-volatility plays.

Strengths for 0x8039ad26298d7847799899808554474b7fa57421-1774907074123 include consistent profitability and a steady equity trend with no drawdown duration, reinforcing their disciplined risk management. However, the low profit factor and modest Sharpe ratio highlight limited upside relative to risk taken, suggesting potential vulnerability if market conditions shift. Overall, this trader’s data portrays a reliable yet conservative participant within the Polymarket ecosystem.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+158,865
Lottery Player
69% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
91% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Hedger
avg 3.6 brackets/event
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#315$159,141Vol: $258,531
CRYPTO#1,496,930$-276Vol: $6,479

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$158,865
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$265,010
Total Redeem
$155,336
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
106B / 1S
Daily Volume
$379
Account Age
94d
since Mar 30, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
19%
5W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$159,305
Win Rate
100%
11W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$14,482
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $159,221 (100% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$159,140
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?$41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?$39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?$33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?$21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April$6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$4

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.208
Sortino
621.073
HHI
9331
Concentrated
EV per $1
$367.819
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
96.6%
Top-5 markets
96.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
30.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1830s — typical for humanSize CV 7.39 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 2.20 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
90 entries
<=2
93 entries
<=5
93 entries
<=10
94 entries
<=20
94 entries
<=50
94 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.9%
Mid (20-55c)24.5%
High (>55c)6.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 98.1%

Other$159,300

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.6
Events covered
26

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
6 brackets
<=2
8 brackets
<=3
11 brackets
<=4
19 brackets
<=5
21 brackets
<=8
26 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:01:45 AM1 trades$10,0000 min
4/7/2026, 1:23:21 PM1 trades$5000 min
4/7/2026, 4:33:59 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/7/2026, 4:44:27 PM2 trades$2004 min
4/7/2026, 7:01:57 PM3 trades$3002 min
4/7/2026, 7:22:43 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/7/2026, 9:16:17 PM1 trades$2,6990 min
4/7/2026, 10:17:43 PM1 trades$17,9200 min
4/23/2026, 8:13:54 PM10 trades$475 min
4/23/2026, 8:33:20 PM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 10:09:08 PM3 trades$130 min
4/26/2026, 7:41:18 AM1 trades$50 min
4/26/2026, 7:46:38 AM1 trades$40 min
4/26/2026, 7:57:02 AM1 trades$50 min
4/27/2026, 1:10:16 AM1 trades$50 min
4/27/2026, 3:00:30 AM2 trades$90 min
4/27/2026, 3:25:00 AM1 trades$40 min
4/27/2026, 4:20:16 AM1 trades$50 min
4/27/2026, 5:43:46 AM1 trades$50 min
4/27/2026, 12:03:18 PM3 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
04-26
04-29
05-02
05-05
05-08
05-11
05-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.6 br/event