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@0x8039ad26298d7847799899808554474b7fa57421-1774907074123

#95949

0x8039ad26298d7847799899808554474b7fa57421

51d· 91 markets · 104 tradesVol: $264,6102026-05-12T18:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 11%0/20
Profit Factor 378.61x15/15
Sharpe 0.2234/15
Sortino 761.99110/10
EV $+377.47210/10
HHI 93580/10
Profit Days 20%0/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader 0x8039ad26298d7847799899808554474b7fa57421-1774907074123 is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, with 104 trades across 91 markets over 35 days. They currently rank #959 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of approximately $158,837 and a total trading volume of $264,610. Their win rate is notable at 100%, though their Sharpe ratio is low at 0.22, reflecting modest risk-adjusted returns. The trader’s portfolio value is nearly depleted at $0.16, indicating recent drawdowns or withdrawals despite positive PnL.

This trader’s strategy appears diversified given the large number of markets traded and a near-zero sell percentage, suggesting a tendency to hold positions. Their risk profile looks cautious but steady, with no drawdown duration recorded and a flat equity trend, implying minimal volatility in their trading outcomes. The combination of badges such as Contrarian and Hedger indicates a balanced approach that may involve hedging and contrarian bets. Their low Bot Score suggests manual trading with relatively fast interface usage.

Strengths of 0x8039ad26298d7847799899808554474b7fa57421-1774907074123 include consistent profitability and a perfect win rate, rare in Polymarket trading. However, the low Sharpe ratio and minimal portfolio growth raise concerns about scalability and risk management. Additionally, the near-zero sell percentage could signal liquidity constraints or reluctance to realize gains, which might affect long-term performance. Overall, this trader exhibits steady but limited growth potential with a cautious approach.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+158,837
Lottery Player
69% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
90% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Hedger
avg 4.0 brackets/event
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#282$159,141Vol: $258,531
CRYPTO#1,402,997$-304Vol: $6,079

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$158,837
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$264,610
Total Redeem
$155,287
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
103B / 1S
Daily Volume
$411
Account Age
51d
since Mar 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-12
Vol: $0
Week
$-49
Vol: $0
Month
$-240
Vol: $4,056
All Time
$158,837
Vol: $264,610

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
17%
4W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$159,266
Win Rate
100%
10W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$15,926
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $159,214 (100% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$159,140
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?$41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?$33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 27?$21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April$6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 5$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April$3

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.223
Sortino
761.991
HHI
9358
Concentrated
EV per $1
$377.472
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
96.7%
Top-5 markets
97%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
30.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1830s — typical for humanSize CV 7.29 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 2.20 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
87 entries
<=2
90 entries
<=5
90 entries
<=10
91 entries
<=20
91 entries
<=50
91 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.9%
Mid (20-55c)24.3%
High (>55c)6.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 98.2%

Other$159,260

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
4
Events covered
23

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
3 brackets
<=2
5 brackets
<=3
8 brackets
<=4
16 brackets
<=5
18 brackets
<=8
23 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:01:45 AM1 trades$10,0000 min
4/7/2026, 1:23:21 PM1 trades$5000 min
4/7/2026, 4:33:59 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/7/2026, 4:44:27 PM2 trades$2004 min
4/7/2026, 7:01:57 PM3 trades$3002 min
4/7/2026, 7:22:43 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/7/2026, 9:16:17 PM1 trades$2,6990 min
4/7/2026, 10:17:43 PM1 trades$17,9200 min
4/23/2026, 8:13:54 PM10 trades$475 min
4/23/2026, 8:33:20 PM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 10:09:08 PM3 trades$130 min
4/26/2026, 7:41:18 AM1 trades$50 min
4/26/2026, 7:46:38 AM1 trades$40 min
4/26/2026, 7:57:02 AM1 trades$50 min
4/27/2026, 1:10:16 AM1 trades$50 min
4/27/2026, 3:00:30 AM2 trades$90 min
4/27/2026, 3:25:00 AM1 trades$40 min
4/27/2026, 4:20:16 AM1 trades$50 min
4/27/2026, 5:43:46 AM1 trades$50 min
4/27/2026, 12:03:18 PM3 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
04-26
04-29
05-02
05-05
05-08
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 4 br/event