@0x804049…0863

#319,18789

0x8cfd00a03b129f2ae8947e6daec144e68bd2ff64

~34d· 27 markets · 52 tradesVol: $6,0942026-09-21 19:03:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (18/23)20/20
3.13x (win $65 / loss $21)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.28815/15
Sortino 12.69510/10
$+0.0128 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 574 (23 markets)9.6/10
13/18 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($15 / $54)8.3/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+43
Consistent
13/18 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#146,307$16Vol: $3,280
₿ CRYPTO#967,281$-3Vol: $1,114
📈 ECONOMICS#25,129$26Vol: $1,050
⚽ SPORTS#324,647$5Vol: $325
💰 FINANCE#461,022$-1Vol: $281
🎭 CULTURE#243,435$0Vol: $44

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$43
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,094
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
30B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $140
All Time
$43
Vol: $6,094

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
18W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$43
Win Rate
78%
18W / 5L
Profit Factor
3.13x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38 (0.8888888888888888% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$13
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$9
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$5
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?$5
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$4
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1

Top Losers

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-15
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? $-3
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$-1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$-1
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.320
Sortino
0.389
HHI
377
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.015
Kelly %
58.5%
Half-Kelly
29.3%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
28.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7456s — normal for humanCV 0.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.78
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
10/26/2025, 9:39:35 AM1 trades$2110 min
10/23/2025, 12:06:37 PM1 trades$2050 min
10/23/2025, 1:08:49 PM1 trades$2050 min
11/4/2025, 2:41:39 AM1 trades$1980 min
10/29/2025, 5:05:03 AM1 trades$1950 min
10/29/2025, 5:58:19 AM1 trades$1950 min
10/2/2025, 11:05:35 AM1 trades$1930 min
6/3/2025, 8:51:48 AM1 trades$1880 min
7/30/2025, 8:31:55 AM1 trades$1880 min
5/8/2025, 7:21:15 AM1 trades$1710 min
5/1/2025, 2:22:13 AM1 trades$1620 min
5/1/2025, 5:52:37 AM1 trades$1620 min
3/10/2025, 6:05:13 AM1 trades$1570 min
12/2/2025, 11:17:26 AM1 trades$1400 min
12/5/2025, 5:08:39 AM1 trades$1400 min
12/5/2025, 9:28:17 AM1 trades$1400 min
12/10/2025, 6:26:15 AM1 trades$1400 min
12/10/2025, 4:46:03 AM1 trades$1400 min
11/7/2025, 3:46:45 AM1 trades$1390 min
11/7/2025, 7:19:37 AM1 trades$1390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-01
10-23
11-07
11-29
12-29
01-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100