@0x807ccea75c5f34b63728794f42fde9cb3ac6f1e3
280x807ccea75c5f34b63728794f42fde9cb3ac6f1e3
~240d· 125 markets · 2601 trades2026-08-02 06:34:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (24/53)7.6/20
1.02x (win $459 / loss $449)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1072/15
Sortino 0.1311.3/10
$+0.0016 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 444 (53 markets)10/10
20/42 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 97% of peak ($306 / $316)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 19.6 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,041
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
125
total markets
Trades
1818B / 783S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~240d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
24W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
45%
24W / 29L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $223 (49.008810572687224% of PnL)
Top Winners
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?$82
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$79
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$62
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?$56
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$40
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?$35
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$24
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? $17
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?$10
Top Losers
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?$-147
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?$-66
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?$-48
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$-25
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-25
Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?$-25
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-16
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-15
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-13
Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?$-13
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.005
Sortino
0.005
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
8.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
40.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2414s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
19.62
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)75.9%
Mid (20-55c)4.5%
High (>55c)19.6%
Sessions
#127/15/2026, 9:21:58 AM52 trades$4188 min
7/13/2026, 4:10:07 PM15 trades$36110 min
6/12/2026, 7:48:52 PM11 trades$1823 min
7/6/2026, 9:03:02 PM19 trades$1704 min
7/17/2026, 8:54:52 AM10 trades$1573 min
6/14/2026, 9:05:09 AM8 trades$1412 min
6/1/2026, 1:51:19 PM10 trades$1406 min
6/22/2026, 9:32:22 PM5 trades$1151 min
6/12/2026, 10:35:48 AM15 trades$1143 min
5/8/2026, 4:14:26 PM2 trades$1010 min
6/19/2026, 6:55:43 PM15 trades$1006 min
7/19/2026, 8:18:03 PM7 trades$952 min
7/1/2026, 11:12:58 AM11 trades$924 min
7/15/2026, 7:08:52 PM15 trades$913 min
12/19/2025, 9:18:37 PM1 trades$900 min
4/29/2026, 8:52:32 AM9 trades$894 min
7/20/2026, 2:32:34 PM15 trades$893 min
11/18/2025, 9:18:07 PM15 trades$784 min
6/15/2026, 7:39:00 PM3 trades$770 min
11/18/2025, 2:37:11 PM5 trades$722 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
11-13
12-02
01-09
02-17
04-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 132 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.9 / M4.5 / H19.6