@trancata
#2,672,196400x810b5ab0cef57a8fc91b7103cc5b786d52a6fdae
~48d· 129 markets · 689 tradesVol: $22,9132026-08-04 22:58:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (80/119)18.6/20
0.97x (win $1,533 / loss $1,576)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1310/15
Sortino -0.1460/10
$-0.0027 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 634 (119 markets)9.3/10
27/38 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 112% of peak ($804 / $721)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 67%
DCA Master
Avg 7.4 entries/market
Consistent
27/38 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#78,537$67Vol: $16,207
💰 FINANCE#17,475$108Vol: $3,318
📢 MENTIONS#171,433$-308Vol: $1,231
💻 TECH#11,513$27Vol: $932
⚽ SPORTS#166,286$50Vol: $644
₿ CRYPTO#1,504,743$-138Vol: $295
🎭 CULTURE#61,499$13Vol: $126
📈 ECONOMICS#30,406$18Vol: $120
🌤️ WEATHER#208,836$-2Vol: $40
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-166
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,913
Total Redeem
$8
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
129
total markets
Trades
311B / 378S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d
Periods
#2Today
$-21
Vol: $0
Week
$-17
Vol: $673
Month
$-13
Vol: $725
All Time
$-166
Vol: $22,913
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
80W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-166
Win Rate
67%
80W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-99
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $679 (4.100567769992752% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$332
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$175
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$171
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$122
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$56
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$52
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$49
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$44
Top Losers
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-656
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$-455
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$-140
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-71
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-62
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-55
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$-30
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$-29
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$-20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-14
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.007
Sortino
-0.004
HHI
988
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.7%
Top-5 markets
60.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 114s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)85.9%
Sessions
#126/1/2026, 2:56:00 AM17 trades$1,5789 min
6/5/2026, 1:55:18 AM9 trades$1,3771 min
7/1/2026, 12:43:07 AM8 trades$1,3719 min
7/1/2026, 12:40:01 PM6 trades$1,2982 min
4/15/2026, 11:04:38 AM18 trades$1,2683 min
5/10/2026, 1:40:56 AM9 trades$1,16311 min
6/25/2026, 5:25:10 AM22 trades$1,1206 min
7/4/2026, 5:58:43 AM20 trades$1,0451 min
5/14/2026, 12:26:13 PM12 trades$9132 min
4/14/2026, 12:30:17 PM21 trades$9087 min
8/3/2026, 1:32:24 PM8 trades$7072 min
5/9/2026, 8:33:55 PM6 trades$6812 min
4/13/2026, 10:27:31 AM16 trades$6774 min
4/26/2026, 1:25:02 PM9 trades$5690 min
5/9/2026, 2:30:07 PM17 trades$55917 min
4/16/2026, 2:06:24 PM9 trades$5585 min
5/13/2026, 4:21:35 PM25 trades$5397 min
6/1/2026, 1:49:20 PM20 trades$50712 min
6/11/2026, 2:59:01 PM4 trades$4401 min
5/14/2026, 12:12:22 PM10 trades$4374 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-30
05-13
06-05
06-22
07-01
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 51 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M12.5 / H85.9