@antique.aag

#179,01854

0x8164ffcb19788fdc20c80f7ff5acc40bb9560813

~132d· 248 markets · 4903 tradesVol: $502,3432026-09-10 21:40:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (96/246)4.5/20
1.19x (win $4,467 / loss $3,745)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.90115/15
Sortino 2.27710/10
$+0.0893 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 83 (246 markets)10/10
40/98 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 56% of peak ($815 / $1,457)2.8/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+191
Lottery Player
96% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#12,383$253Vol: $501,470
🌤️ WEATHER#284,107$-56Vol: $873

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$197
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$502,343
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
248
total markets
Trades
3893B / 1010S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~132d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $530
Week
$7
Vol: $1,065
Month
$2
Vol: $2,353
All Time
$197
Vol: $502,343

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
96W / 150L events
Realized PnL
$191
Win Rate
39%
96W / 150L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$47
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,087 (10.904211956521738% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1,464
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$461
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$162
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$122
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$122
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$121
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$103
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$101
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$87
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$86

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$-328
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-172
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-123
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$-122
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-98
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-89
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-81
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-75
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-73
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-72

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.047
Sortino
0.108
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.089
Kelly %
13.1%
Half-Kelly
6.5%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
12%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.7m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 160s — normal for humanCV 2.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.91
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)95.7%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)3.8%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 10:27:37 AM20 trades$5181 min
6/9/2026, 12:12:06 PM22 trades$4545 min
4/15/2026, 9:39:00 AM36 trades$3806 min
4/24/2026, 9:48:28 PM2 trades$3400 min
6/7/2026, 12:18:33 PM9 trades$2605 min
6/28/2026, 4:45:29 PM7 trades$2533 min
6/11/2026, 11:12:30 AM5 trades$2533 min
5/29/2026, 10:56:24 PM15 trades$2289 min
5/5/2026, 9:21:44 PM23 trades$2114 min
7/25/2026, 8:15:49 AM6 trades$2070 min
6/14/2026, 10:41:21 PM12 trades$1931 min
4/2/2026, 9:34:59 AM38 trades$1783 min
7/21/2026, 10:37:34 PM8 trades$1690 min
2/17/2026, 6:33:21 AM7 trades$1681 min
3/18/2026, 10:29:05 PM10 trades$16714 min
4/10/2026, 11:21:59 AM1 trades$1620 min
5/31/2026, 1:20:26 AM1 trades$1600 min
5/31/2026, 7:28:18 PM2 trades$1470 min
3/7/2026, 10:53:41 PM30 trades$13810 min
4/1/2026, 8:20:29 AM49 trades$1376 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
02-09
02-28
03-19
04-07
06-08
08-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L95.7 / M0.6 / H3.8