Donny.T

@Donny.T

#7,00854

0x8190816855b676a5efd8c5b344135a72337bb247

~291d· 742 markets · 15846 tradesVol: $2,763,9492026-08-02 06:24:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (406/552)20/20
1.14x (win $60,202 / loss $52,897)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3226/15
Sortino 0.3313.3/10
$+0.0044 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 107 (552 markets)10/10
156/206 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 145% of peak ($29,545 / $20,405)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+22,586
DCA Master
Avg 19.5 entries/market
Whale
$1,650,298 invested
Consistent
156/206 profitable days
High Roller
$5,652/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#2,331$18,535Vol: $2,510,107
🎭 CULTURE#2,761$2,358Vol: $98,373
CRYPTO#31,748$929Vol: $83,757
📈 ECONOMICS#10,461$135Vol: $29,952
SPORTS#139,024$75Vol: $19,215
💰 FINANCE#7,635$436Vol: $16,877
💻 TECH#20,274$8Vol: $639
🌤️ WEATHER#13,287$30Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$22,586
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,763,949
Total Redeem
$62
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
742
total markets
Trades
10097B / 5749S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~291d

Periods

#2
Today
$81
Vol: $10
Week
$1,386
Vol: $10
Month
$387
Vol: $2,488
All Time
$22,586
Vol: $2,763,949

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
406W / 146L events
Realized PnL
$22,586
Win Rate
74%
406W / 146L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$148
Avg Loss
$-386

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,431 (0.6831993050571528% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$11,418
Trump out as President by June 30?$2,450
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1,563
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$1,421
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$1,259
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?$1,187
Trump out as President by March 31?$1,153
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1,091
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$953
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$951

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-30,967
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-9,627
US strike on Mexico by January 31?$-1,957
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,331
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-1,325
US strike on Mexico by March 31?$-1,239
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-621
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$-570
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-550
Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?$-470

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.017
Sortino
0.009
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
10%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
54.3
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.6m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 544s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock54 trades/day — mass trading2.5 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.53
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)3.5%
High (>55c)91.8%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 6:26:21 PM115 trades$35,78425 min
7/20/2026, 2:17:40 AM11 trades$14,4959 min
5/8/2026, 6:57:29 PM46 trades$13,81822 min
6/30/2026, 2:38:17 PM65 trades$13,74525 min
6/9/2026, 1:50:52 PM58 trades$11,2977 min
6/26/2026, 11:58:26 AM40 trades$10,90919 min
12/28/2025, 2:59:41 PM42 trades$10,39822 min
1/19/2026, 9:38:54 AM9 trades$10,2779 min
4/10/2026, 4:25:57 PM4 trades$9,2120 min
2/28/2026, 11:52:49 AM24 trades$8,82114 min
2/26/2026, 5:08:08 PM43 trades$8,49030 min
2/11/2026, 5:10:55 PM14 trades$8,3441 min
4/30/2026, 11:06:32 PM2 trades$8,1340 min
4/8/2026, 5:27:55 AM23 trades$8,0417 min
2/28/2026, 7:02:41 AM17 trades$7,52228 min
6/30/2026, 2:19:19 PM38 trades$7,51113 min
11/26/2025, 10:49:31 AM4 trades$7,4083 min
5/8/2026, 6:00:47 PM30 trades$7,1447 min
10/16/2025, 9:19:03 AM1 trades$7,0360 min
4/17/2026, 10:04:10 AM60 trades$6,7059 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
12-14
01-27
03-07
04-20
06-05
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.8 / M3.5 / H91.8