@theguyman43

#2,909,9167

0x81b4a9ee3b9fd927555c843dc3e937d8808a4161

~31d· 46 markets · 135 tradesVol: $93,6222026-09-19 00:48:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (10/41)0/20
0.58x (win $1,011 / loss $1,736)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7420/15
Sortino -3.1880/10
$-0.2409 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1037 (41 markets)7.3/10
7/26 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,001 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,610,392$-428Vol: $58,882
⚽ SPORTS#107,152$136Vol: $21,838
₿ CRYPTO#1,266,790$-17Vol: $6,350
🎭 CULTURE#736,944$-20Vol: $525
💰 FINANCE#595,905$-15Vol: $115

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-481
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,622
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
74B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $1,429
Week
$0
Vol: $1,429
Month
$103
Vol: $1,429
All Time
$-481
Vol: $93,622

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
10W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-493
Win Rate
24%
10W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$101
Avg Loss
$-58

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $642 (1.3030862569242945% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$380
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$135
Stars vs. Oilers$127
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$93
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$89
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$82
Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?$48
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$30
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$19
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$9

Top Losers

Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?$-732
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$-50
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?$-50
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025?$-50
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-50
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-34
Will Karmine Corp win the LEC 2026 Versus?$-33
Will Oner (Mun Hyeon-jun) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?$-25
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.141
Sortino
-0.152
HHI
857
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.289
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.3%
Top-5 markets
47.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 354s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.56
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.7%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)9.5%

Sessions

#12
8/27/2026, 1:42:34 PM12 trades$4,3091 min
4/4/2026, 9:16:05 PM66 trades$1,5291 min
10/2/2024, 7:19:24 PM1 trades$3620 min
10/2/2024, 5:50:17 PM1 trades$2000 min
4/3/2026, 4:11:11 PM2 trades$2000 min
12/11/2025, 10:27:51 AM2 trades$1400 min
11/25/2025, 8:08:19 PM2 trades$1341 min
10/31/2025, 2:37:37 PM2 trades$1010 min
10/24/2025, 2:17:15 PM2 trades$1000 min
11/7/2025, 2:35:25 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/25/2025, 2:28:09 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/25/2025, 11:13:19 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/30/2025, 2:15:42 PM1 trades$1000 min
2/13/2026, 1:55:15 PM2 trades$1000 min
3/17/2026, 12:05:49 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/9/2025, 7:29:57 AM1 trades$970 min
10/2/2024, 6:07:43 PM1 trades$900 min
2/9/2026, 1:15:33 AM2 trades$701 min
11/8/2025, 3:04:33 PM1 trades$500 min
1/5/2026, 2:29:31 PM1 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-02
11-08
11-18
11-30
12-13
02-09
04-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.56/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.7 / M10.8 / H9.5