@pungerman
#2,923,300820x81d02f24548e020427c4824fc8211992307df1da
~72d· 181 markets · 1145 tradesVol: $242,5482026-10-07 02:36:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
79% (140/178)20/20
1.50x (win $1,591 / loss $1,058)8.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.53115/15
Sortino 6.21910/10
$+0.0200 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 141 (178 markets)10/10
48/62 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($171 / $532)7.6/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 6.5 entries/market
Consistent
48/62 profitable days
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
6🌤️ WEATHER#299,813$-415Vol: $235,875
🏛️ POLITICS#126,004$24Vol: $3,521
💰 FINANCE#51,746$12Vol: $1,822
📈 ECONOMICS#659,584$-48Vol: $772
🎭 CULTURE#751,669$-30Vol: $320
₿ CRYPTO#667,210$0Vol: $238
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-458
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$242,548
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
181
total markets
Trades
514B / 631S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$42
Vol: $18,811
Month
$184
Vol: $70,969
All Time
$-458
Vol: $242,548
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
79%
140W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-490
Win Rate
79%
140W / 38L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-41
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $519 (1.0598864750081674% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?$180
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$174
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?$164
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?$135
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$98
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?$97
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$78
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$50
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$45
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?$-162
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?$-94
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-92
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?$-66
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?$-65
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14?$-58
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?$-56
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-50
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13?$-44
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.183
Sortino
0.207
HHI
123
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
15.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 327s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.48
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)87.2%
Sessions
#126/16/2026, 8:51:58 PM4 trades$8,4251 min
5/24/2026, 12:55:05 AM2 trades$6,3320 min
6/11/2026, 10:00:34 PM21 trades$2,4204 min
6/1/2026, 9:48:33 PM2 trades$1,9500 min
5/9/2026, 9:59:28 PM21 trades$1,1377 min
5/24/2026, 11:06:16 AM2 trades$9780 min
6/16/2026, 11:33:43 PM18 trades$9233 min
5/10/2026, 10:51:27 AM2 trades$8240 min
5/9/2026, 9:16:31 AM10 trades$7574 min
5/26/2026, 8:44:33 PM2 trades$7000 min
5/8/2026, 4:21:54 PM8 trades$6634 min
5/7/2026, 5:21:17 PM6 trades$5953 min
5/5/2026, 2:58:54 PM16 trades$5537 min
7/6/2026, 9:09:17 PM2 trades$5450 min
6/24/2026, 12:26:13 PM4 trades$5350 min
7/7/2026, 9:57:02 AM5 trades$5324 min
7/8/2026, 9:24:58 AM9 trades$5214 min
6/16/2026, 6:41:49 AM10 trades$5021 min
5/7/2026, 9:45:06 PM4 trades$4771 min
2/27/2026, 1:33:43 PM1 trades$4430 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
03-02
05-10
06-28
07-18
08-04
08-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 33 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
54% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M9.7 / H87.2