@wintowin1348

#2,961,41515

0x82267136efc39e9c90b3ee5eb6cef5f24282424a

~50d· 309 markets · 1017 tradesVol: $87,0052026-08-25 15:36:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (126/308)5.5/20
0.66x (win $1,138 / loss $1,720)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2100/15
Sortino -6.4100/10
$-0.0924 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 264 (308 markets)10/10
12/47 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 4019% of peak ($840 / $21)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,638,420$-924Vol: $73,778
📈 ECONOMICS#658,511$-65Vol: $13,000
💰 FINANCE#589,177$-13Vol: $227

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,002
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$87,005
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
309
total markets
Trades
705B / 312S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-25
Vol: $260
Month
$-181
Vol: $8,190
All Time
$-1,002
Vol: $87,005

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
126W / 182L events
Realized PnL
$-1,002
Win Rate
41%
126W / 182L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $406 (0.40514119841594426% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 11AM ET$192
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$153
Ethereum Up or Down on March 2?$62
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$56
Ethereum Up or Down on February 15?$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 11AM ET$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$37
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 26?$34
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 4?$33

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down on December 4?$-144
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 12PM ET$-109
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 6?$-81
Ethereum Up or Down on February 22?$-81
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 1PM ET$-81
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$-80
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-64
Ethereum Up or Down on December 7?$-58
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 18?$-55
Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$-47

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.270
Sortino
-0.400
HHI
240
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.092
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
26.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.9m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 292s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.29
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35%
Mid (20-55c)44.5%
High (>55c)20.4%

Sessions

#12
12/4/2025, 2:46:53 PM7 trades$67217 min
2/14/2026, 12:24:33 AM5 trades$6205 min
8/21/2026, 3:56:09 AM36 trades$54312 min
2/15/2026, 4:06:07 AM4 trades$3527 min
12/5/2025, 3:07:23 PM1 trades$3240 min
12/4/2025, 12:43:41 AM2 trades$2493 min
8/21/2026, 3:55:48 PM24 trades$2457 min
12/4/2025, 1:11:37 PM4 trades$2313 min
12/5/2025, 1:40:57 PM3 trades$2233 min
12/2/2025, 3:24:52 PM3 trades$2134 min
8/21/2026, 4:47:09 PM24 trades$1980 min
12/24/2025, 8:31:33 PM12 trades$18717 min
12/2/2025, 4:28:30 PM6 trades$16117 min
8/21/2026, 3:21:25 PM8 trades$1323 min
2/14/2026, 7:48:39 AM4 trades$1188 min
3/2/2026, 3:07:53 PM4 trades$1070 min
12/4/2025, 3:11:17 PM2 trades$1032 min
11/6/2025, 7:05:19 PM2 trades$1020 min
12/5/2025, 3:47:27 PM1 trades$1010 min
11/1/2025, 10:27:45 PM4 trades$1007 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
11-05
12-03
12-10
12-29
02-22
03-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 126 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.29/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35 / M44.5 / H20.4