@pikepoker

#123,42710

0x82ed047f9696968ed64a7c6b7138b2050f444432

~49d· 172 markets · 1309 tradesVol: $90,6542026-08-26 10:44:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (13/172)0/20
0.80x (win $414 / loss $518)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5990/15
Sortino -3.0350/10
$-0.1232 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 449 (172 markets)10/10
8/45 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 210% of peak ($275 / $131)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+366
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#2,980$434Vol: $88,202
CRYPTO#981,548$-3Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$447
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$90,654
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
172
total markets
Trades
738B / 571S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $706
Week
$16
Vol: $5,448
Month
$122
Vol: $20,876
All Time
$447
Vol: $90,654

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
13W / 159L events
Realized PnL
$366
Win Rate
8%
13W / 159L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $254 (0.6943389005822377% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 14?$136
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 25?$84
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?$34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?$30
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 12?$27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 29?$22
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 9?$18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 21?$18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 9?$17
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?$13

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 16?$-33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 15?$-21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 16?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 9?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 16?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 5?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.083
Sortino
-0.193
HHI
185
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
21.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 864s — normal for humanCV 2.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)54% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.8 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.61
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)34.7%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 5:03:50 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/19/2026, 4:49:55 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/29/2026, 5:43:12 AM6 trades$5521 min
5/14/2026, 10:15:51 AM6 trades$3554 min
8/9/2026, 6:16:46 AM8 trades$3462 min
6/8/2026, 2:05:36 AM17 trades$2461 min
5/12/2026, 4:52:49 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/29/2026, 5:06:56 AM5 trades$1913 min
8/8/2026, 10:58:18 PM14 trades$1836 min
5/15/2026, 8:09:50 AM3 trades$1370 min
6/8/2026, 3:04:48 PM2 trades$1310 min
6/20/2026, 5:23:43 AM13 trades$1228 min
6/8/2026, 1:33:28 PM3 trades$1200 min
6/21/2026, 3:03:23 AM5 trades$1091 min
5/14/2026, 12:10:26 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/28/2026, 9:48:31 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/17/2026, 3:09:57 AM4 trades$973 min
7/31/2026, 5:47:45 AM6 trades$953 min
6/18/2026, 8:17:08 AM5 trades$940 min
5/13/2026, 3:31:15 AM17 trades$841 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-10
05-18
06-07
06-14
06-21
07-10
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.61/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.9 / M2.4 / H34.7