@jonrbzhqbwnc
#2,261,96140x838b5142bcce6174be0dcc37a633dba8842746ed
~64d· 176 markets · 561 tradesVol: $18,6342026-08-02 07:03:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (39/132)0/20
0.20x (win $126 / loss $618)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.2310/15
Sortino -6.8280/10
$-0.3088 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1663 (132 markets)4.2/10
11/45 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($496 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#194,624$7Vol: $11,982
🎭 CULTURE#737,565$-26Vol: $5,577
⚽ SPORTS#1,076,304$-2Vol: $509
📢 MENTIONS#144,682$-23Vol: $237
💰 FINANCE#84,550$4Vol: $201
📈 ECONOMICS#66,559$4Vol: $93
₿ CRYPTO#476,744$0Vol: $35
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-37
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,634
Total Redeem
$38
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
176
total markets
Trades
388B / 173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$22
Vol: $0
Month
$6
Vol: $45
All Time
$-37
Vol: $18,634
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
30%
39W / 93L events
Realized PnL
$-37
Win Rate
30%
39W / 93L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-7
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38 (1.0350448247758761% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$13
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$13
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$12
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$8
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$6
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$6
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$5
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$5
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$5
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$5
Top Losers
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?$-172
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$-41
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$-31
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-26
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$-21
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$-18
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-15
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-14
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$-14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-12
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.374
Sortino
-0.344
HHI
199
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.406
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
25.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
55.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3352s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal70% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)46.6%
Mid (20-55c)18%
High (>55c)35.3%
Sessions
#125/22/2026, 9:19:52 PM2 trades$1,4290 min
6/3/2026, 2:17:36 PM11 trades$5670 min
4/15/2026, 3:57:32 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/3/2026, 1:30:25 PM5 trades$1712 min
7/11/2026, 12:47:56 AM7 trades$1661 min
5/13/2026, 7:57:22 AM4 trades$1630 min
4/22/2026, 4:26:56 AM4 trades$1311 min
4/17/2026, 9:05:42 AM6 trades$1221 min
4/17/2026, 4:27:46 PM4 trades$1150 min
4/15/2026, 4:03:42 AM8 trades$815 min
4/20/2026, 4:54:10 AM9 trades$771 min
6/11/2026, 8:30:22 PM2 trades$640 min
6/22/2026, 1:50:02 AM2 trades$550 min
4/23/2026, 12:05:04 AM5 trades$532 min
5/7/2026, 9:11:14 PM16 trades$519 min
5/16/2026, 5:13:08 PM5 trades$504 min
5/9/2026, 12:59:02 PM4 trades$501 min
6/21/2026, 5:56:20 PM6 trades$471 min
5/30/2026, 8:53:37 PM4 trades$425 min
6/19/2026, 12:33:25 AM12 trades$397 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
04-22
04-29
05-06
05-14
06-08
06-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.6 / M18 / H35.3