@0x83c440…2923

#2,526,38814

0x83c440cb631356d139dfeb66b6cb34ff1452ac70

~37d· 72 markets · 186 tradesVol: $3,6942026-10-05 18:32:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (20/54)3.5/20
0.86x (win $215 / loss $251)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0000/15
Sortino -1.3320/10
$-0.0363 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 501 (54 markets)10/10
7/25 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 5966% of peak ($192 / $3)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#180,885$9Vol: $2,940
💻 TECH#256,868$-42Vol: $365
🎭 CULTURE#688,694$-10Vol: $223
⚽ SPORTS#1,544,919$-30Vol: $133
📢 MENTIONS#115,850$-5Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-78
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,694
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
113B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$-17
Vol: $0
Month
$-17
Vol: $575
All Time
$-78
Vol: $3,694

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
20W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-59
Win Rate
37%
20W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $134 (2.273730684326711% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$68
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$36
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$16
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$11
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$7
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?$7
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$7
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$6
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$6

Top Losers

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?$-45
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-35
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?$-21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17?$-21
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-12
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?$-12
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$-10
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$-9
Will Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$-8
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.051
Sortino
-0.065
HHI
226
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.053
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
26.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 170s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.4%
Mid (20-55c)44.2%
High (>55c)35.4%

Sessions

#12
9/6/2026, 9:25:46 AM19 trades$1708 min
7/2/2026, 4:16:13 AM12 trades$1672 min
3/22/2026, 7:52:35 PM8 trades$1327 min
5/9/2026, 2:02:11 PM4 trades$1060 min
4/17/2026, 10:00:22 PM4 trades$881 min
10/17/2025, 6:11:09 AM5 trades$8513 min
6/5/2026, 3:33:39 PM4 trades$780 min
3/7/2026, 5:34:07 AM11 trades$6319 min
5/11/2026, 1:59:00 PM2 trades$560 min
10/17/2025, 5:49:21 AM2 trades$402 min
10/17/2025, 7:07:09 AM2 trades$400 min
7/25/2026, 9:06:58 PM5 trades$352 min
10/17/2025, 5:36:23 AM2 trades$354 min
9/14/2026, 10:56:16 AM2 trades$280 min
10/23/2025, 6:34:57 PM7 trades$277 min
10/24/2025, 2:50:55 PM3 trades$253 min
5/12/2026, 2:09:55 AM4 trades$241 min
11/4/2025, 10:01:55 AM1 trades$200 min
1/15/2026, 10:37:44 PM1 trades$200 min
3/6/2026, 10:29:19 AM8 trades$209 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
10-25
11-01
12-19
03-07
03-20
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 148 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.52/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20.4 / M44.2 / H35.4