mooseborzoi

@mooseborzoi

#3,135,13221

0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226eccd2f63

~125d· 2853 markets · 1883631 tradesVol: $351,122,1332026-09-10 09:44:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (3651/8427)6.7/20
0.85x (win $38,140,817 / loss $45,029,138)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9690/15
Sortino -1.1030/10
$-4.0576 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 28 (8427 markets)10/10
230/500 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 316% of peak ($7,813,267 / $2,471,501)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
1% sells
Whale
$1,697,637 invested
High Roller
$12,126/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,908,341$-7,487,548Vol: $345,701,219
🏛️ POLITICS#1,654,677$-15,146Vol: $422,530
CRYPTO#1,430,564$-54Vol: $324

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,580,897
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$351,122,133
Total Redeem
$2,193,766
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2853
total markets
Trades
17594B / 20191S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~125d

Periods

#2
Today
$-23,093
Vol: $472,179
Week
$187,269
Vol: $6,229,324
Month
$148,535
Vol: $11,226,762
All Time
$-7,580,897
Vol: $351,122,133

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
3650W / 4776L events
Realized PnL
$-7,586,688
Win Rate
43%
3650W / 4776L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$10,447
Avg Loss
$-9,657

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,002,605 (0.39577282466424435% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$1,098,311
Spurs vs. Knicks$958,308
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$945,987
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$907,533
Knicks vs. Spurs$869,422
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$867,112
Knicks vs. Spurs$718,641
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$615,693
76ers vs. Celtics$615,367
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$581,054

Top Losers

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-2,568,810
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-951,610
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$-937,475
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-871,869
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-808,682
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-780,607
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$-715,561
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-685,712
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-496,058
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$-483,024

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.051
Sortino
-0.044
HHI
72974
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.082
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
78.8%
Top-5 markets
335.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13454.5
Very active
Markets / Day
20.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.6m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
36 min
Avg Trades / Session
135.9

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 7.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13455 trades/day — automation20 markets/day — mass coverage1% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
221.97
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.4%
Mid (20-55c)54.7%
High (>55c)29.8%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 2:31:02 PM40 trades$86,7012 min
6/25/2026, 10:34:11 PM697 trades$77,721110 min
6/14/2026, 8:59:52 PM794 trades$47,276174 min
7/15/2026, 9:03:53 PM162 trades$39,54063 min
6/14/2026, 4:22:43 PM17 trades$39,0332 min
6/20/2026, 11:08:32 PM24 trades$31,7262 min
6/11/2026, 12:44:46 AM218 trades$31,54137 min
6/18/2026, 10:16:20 PM462 trades$29,171136 min
6/17/2026, 9:51:29 PM280 trades$28,49575 min
6/20/2026, 11:15:55 PM6 trades$28,3775 min
6/19/2026, 2:28:20 PM27 trades$27,32011 min
6/7/2026, 6:29:46 PM24 trades$27,2890 min
6/3/2026, 10:53:42 PM222 trades$25,83499 min
5/13/2026, 11:45:10 AM35 trades$22,9546 min
5/9/2026, 3:47:30 PM13 trades$22,73412 min
6/24/2026, 8:53:11 PM115 trades$22,19831 min
6/16/2026, 11:35:26 PM506 trades$22,097102 min
7/5/2026, 9:20:58 PM7 trades$21,9270 min
6/26/2026, 9:05:17 PM276 trades$21,90176 min
7/9/2026, 6:57:25 PM296 trades$21,81492 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-06-15 00:00:00
2026-06-19 22:00:00
2026-06-26 01:40:00
2026-07-06 19:00:00
2026-07-23 22:30:00
2026-08-19 01:00:00
2026-09-14 02:10:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 221.97/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L15.4 / M54.7 / H29.8