Mr.Kirk

@Mr.Kirk

#8,53856

0x853212cd809da6acc458021c106af749b7aa738b

~221d· 950 markets · 3690 tradesVol: $1,001,3322026-08-02 05:24:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (468/945)9.8/20
1.14x (win $173,031 / loss $152,202)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.22015/15
Sortino 2.25810/10
$+0.0511 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 93 (945 markets)10/10
95/198 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 80% of peak ($16,739 / $20,829)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+18,147
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Whale
$407,275 invested
High Roller
$1,289/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#4,712$11,659Vol: $833,141
🏛️ POLITICS#4,724$7,585Vol: $163,736
📈 ECONOMICS#676,684$-729Vol: $1,581
🌤️ WEATHER#282,406$-84Vol: $1,407
📢 MENTIONS#157,886$-57Vol: $309
💻 TECH#243,007$-50Vol: $242

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$18,147
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,001,332
Total Redeem
$449
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
950
total markets
Trades
1748B / 1942S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~221d

Periods

#2
Today
$26
Vol: $0
Week
$-370
Vol: $0
Month
$44
Vol: $0
All Time
$18,147
Vol: $1,001,332

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
468W / 477L events
Realized PnL
$18,147
Win Rate
50%
468W / 477L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$370
Avg Loss
$-328

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,410 (1.1247175166927592% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$10,592
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,497
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4,321
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half$4,167
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half$3,473
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,363
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers$2,911
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half$2,783
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half$2,380
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half$2,318

Top Losers

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-7,693
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$-3,378
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half$-2,669
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,492
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2,491
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5$-2,199
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-1,903
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-1,722
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5$-1,704
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,700

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.064
Sortino
0.100
HHI
113
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 342s — normal for humanCV 2.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active3.0 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.9%
Mid (20-55c)52.5%
High (>55c)38.6%

Sessions

#12
5/25/2026, 5:31:11 AM10 trades$21,9003 min
6/20/2026, 10:02:46 PM36 trades$18,43313 min
6/24/2026, 4:15:20 PM7 trades$16,6970 min
6/7/2026, 5:49:06 AM17 trades$12,0551 min
6/24/2026, 5:19:04 AM2 trades$10,6590 min
5/9/2026, 4:22:51 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/25/2026, 2:49:19 AM4 trades$8,6350 min
6/9/2026, 10:22:19 PM16 trades$8,2754 min
6/24/2026, 1:11:55 AM32 trades$7,8041 min
6/6/2026, 6:11:12 PM57 trades$7,71319 min
6/18/2026, 4:22:34 AM42 trades$7,47510 min
6/24/2026, 5:28:16 AM31 trades$6,41112 min
6/16/2026, 9:08:04 PM11 trades$6,2952 min
6/25/2026, 12:04:11 AM189 trades$6,2851 min
6/16/2026, 3:58:13 PM23 trades$6,2381 min
6/21/2026, 5:42:11 AM28 trades$6,1862 min
6/21/2026, 7:56:41 PM16 trades$5,7261 min
6/11/2026, 4:07:27 AM29 trades$5,7054 min
6/10/2026, 12:07:18 AM5 trades$5,4912 min
6/11/2026, 11:41:34 PM11 trades$5,4764 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-18
11-07
12-13
02-08
03-23
05-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.83/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L8.9 / M52.5 / H38.6