0x8542adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b

@0x8542…7a7b

#1,74572

0xe234959595e01dacd391a9502a6ad0edf4e3304a

~99d· 308 markets · 23433 tradesVol: $21,724,7162026-09-23 01:19:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (86/214)5.1/20
2.56x (win $2,357,369 / loss $921,819)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.95115/15
Sortino 10.19910/10
$+0.2150 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 966 (214 markets)7.7/10
25/72 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($502,455 / $1,583,665)7.7/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+141,520
Whale
$6,678,063 invested
High Roller
$65,471/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,077$45,626Vol: $16,416,183
📈 ECONOMICS#186$39,926Vol: $3,390,747
SPORTS#35,623$1,093Vol: $831,792
CRYPTO#29,040$1,005Vol: $397,667
💰 FINANCE#665,796$-6,998Vol: $260,077
🎭 CULTURE#717$11,559Vol: $205,592
💻 TECH#164$11,397Vol: $155,551
🌤️ WEATHER#227,160$-5Vol: $5,000
📢 MENTIONS#140,591$-15Vol: $110

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$107,454
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,724,716
Total Redeem
$719,015
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
308
total markets
Trades
11757B / 11676S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

Periods

#2
Today
$-93
Vol: $1,641
Week
$43
Vol: $896,859
Month
$43,529
Vol: $5,215,120
All Time
$107,454
Vol: $21,724,716

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
86W / 128L events
Realized PnL
$141,520
Win Rate
40%
86W / 128L
Profit Factor
2.56x
Avg Win
$27,411
Avg Loss
$-7,618

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,958,189 (13.836828715307217% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,426,912
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$268,349
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$262,928
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$125,062
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$88,496
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$32,834
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$28,744
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$20,572
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$9,644
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$9,285

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-223,893
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$-207,014
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-91,138
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-50,917
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-50,129
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-25,694
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-25,519
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$-21,255
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-18,961
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-13,511

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.101
Sortino
0.454
HHI
1824
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.184
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.6%
Top-5 markets
74.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
229.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.1m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
66.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 3.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock230 trades/day — automation3.0 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
102.27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.4%
Mid (20-55c)16.1%
High (>55c)60.4%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 3:31:05 PM97 trades$272,22621 min
6/14/2026, 10:50:40 PM187 trades$223,84444 min
6/14/2026, 9:11:30 PM226 trades$202,92526 min
8/2/2026, 2:05:59 AM202 trades$156,26012 min
6/15/2026, 2:50:13 AM25 trades$136,09413 min
6/14/2026, 9:42:52 PM110 trades$134,87925 min
6/14/2026, 10:27:42 PM73 trades$121,14518 min
9/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM51 trades$105,62923 min
7/28/2026, 9:40:31 PM237 trades$102,35436 min
6/14/2026, 11:40:07 PM71 trades$100,63110 min
8/5/2026, 2:00:05 AM109 trades$89,20826 min
7/30/2026, 1:36:53 AM76 trades$88,93218 min
6/15/2026, 2:24:13 AM52 trades$78,7385 min
9/12/2026, 4:28:31 AM162 trades$72,098128 min
7/31/2026, 9:30:57 PM4 trades$70,0001 min
8/11/2026, 11:03:25 AM90 trades$69,73614 min
9/19/2026, 12:18:40 AM43 trades$66,3456 min
9/12/2026, 9:23:34 AM91 trades$58,49728 min
7/19/2026, 10:02:03 PM45 trades$55,40828 min
7/9/2026, 5:41:28 AM23 trades$54,54620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-26
07-15
07-27
08-12
08-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 102.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.4 / M16.1 / H60.4