@0x854e4d73287126Df3966b187d29dB7C4CD4Fb675-1767787438325

#18,30836

0x854e4d73287126df3966b187d29db7c4cd4fb675

~78d· 38 markets · 2045 tradesVol: $241,7892026-08-02 09:57:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (19/28)18.9/20
0.51x (win $11,054 / loss $21,752)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3030/15
Sortino -2.3430/10
$-0.0789 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 792 (28 markets)8.5/10
14/22 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 248% of peak ($19,364 / $7,820)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+7,570
DCA Master
Avg 60.2 entries/market
Whale
$135,614 invested
Consistent
14/22 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#4,708$7,575Vol: $241,789

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,575
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$241,789
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
1023B / 1022S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~78d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$589
Vol: $0
Month
$53
Vol: $0
All Time
$7,575
Vol: $241,789

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
19W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$7,570
Win Rate
68%
19W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$582
Avg Loss
$-2,719

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,450 (0.8520401760177763% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$3,038
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$2,145
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$1,266
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$943
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$863
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$548
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$521
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$461
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$446
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$348

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-19,497
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,158
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-404
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-279
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$-178
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$-117
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-96
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.118
Sortino
-0.071
HHI
589
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.090
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.5%
Top-5 markets
41.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active0.2 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
60.21
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.7%
Mid (20-55c)21.9%
High (>55c)66.4%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 8:54:20 PM17 trades$9,3182 min
4/20/2026, 8:48:34 AM36 trades$8,4768 min
4/21/2026, 3:27:42 PM29 trades$6,8611 min
6/20/2026, 9:45:49 PM82 trades$6,77618 min
4/21/2026, 2:55:52 PM18 trades$6,7042 min
6/15/2026, 12:41:27 PM4 trades$6,2601 min
4/20/2026, 12:31:08 PM26 trades$6,1264 min
4/17/2026, 10:57:52 AM18 trades$6,0706 min
6/14/2026, 10:23:07 PM16 trades$5,9177 min
4/24/2026, 4:47:28 AM23 trades$5,7709 min
6/14/2026, 9:26:31 PM25 trades$5,5622 min
6/12/2026, 4:21:13 AM6 trades$5,0887 min
4/20/2026, 9:22:50 PM12 trades$4,5494 min
4/27/2026, 5:09:30 AM25 trades$4,48310 min
6/14/2026, 9:38:16 PM18 trades$4,3293 min
4/15/2026, 11:49:28 AM19 trades$4,2148 min
4/24/2026, 3:53:44 AM7 trades$3,9771 min
6/10/2026, 7:48:15 PM29 trades$3,62124 min
4/17/2026, 10:20:44 AM10 trades$3,5010 min
4/27/2026, 6:04:08 AM32 trades$3,4350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
04-20
04-26
05-31
06-06
06-14
06-21
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 60.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.7 / M21.9 / H66.4