popoll

@popoll

#145,34289

0x85948e4ebdfb7f0e533c47a7c705553a12071a8d

~118d· 208 markets · 648 tradesVol: $65,504 @guida202510172026-09-29 15:53:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (180/202)20/20
4.09x (win $444 / loss $109)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.46715/15
Sortino 7.33810/10
$+0.0103 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 276 (202 markets)10/10
83/91 profitable days (91%)10/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($98 / $335)8.1/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+284
Consistent
83/91 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#9,853$53Vol: $26,724
🏛️ POLITICS#69,206$87Vol: $16,408
₿ CRYPTO#92,840$94Vol: $13,479
⚽ SPORTS#336,135$5Vol: $2,604
💰 FINANCE#52,610$11Vol: $973
📈 ECONOMICS#42,299$10Vol: $484
🎭 CULTURE#96,168$4Vol: $285
💻 TECH#21,650$7Vol: $248
📢 MENTIONS#18,360$12Vol: $39

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$284
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$65,504
Total Redeem
$780
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
208
total markets
Trades
294B / 354S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~118d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$11
Vol: $0
Month
$11
Vol: $388
All Time
$284
Vol: $65,504

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
180W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$284
Win Rate
89%
180W / 22L
Profit Factor
4.09x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $87 (0.3067149996480608% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?$33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?$29
Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28?$24
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$15
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 12?$13
Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?$12
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$11

Top Losers

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-96
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or higher on May 4?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.285
Sortino
0.093
HHI
250
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
24.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 279s — normal for humanCV 1.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.21
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)2.7%
High (>55c)96.3%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 2:53:31 AM21 trades$4,01320 min
5/10/2026, 11:54:41 AM27 trades$1,3959 min
6/10/2026, 1:50:10 AM12 trades$1,1635 min
5/9/2026, 3:19:31 AM9 trades$1,0536 min
5/8/2026, 1:48:01 AM51 trades$1,0239 min
7/16/2026, 8:24:49 AM2 trades$9520 min
5/13/2026, 2:41:12 AM13 trades$8815 min
3/9/2025, 10:33:07 PM1 trades$7940 min
5/7/2026, 3:07:45 AM10 trades$7803 min
2/19/2026, 9:50:14 PM5 trades$7453 min
10/30/2024, 11:18:24 AM9 trades$7226 min
5/12/2026, 3:55:44 AM9 trades$6876 min
5/3/2026, 4:21:52 PM21 trades$6841 min
6/12/2026, 1:48:54 AM23 trades$62416 min
5/6/2026, 8:11:52 AM10 trades$5583 min
5/16/2026, 7:15:41 AM13 trades$5360 min
7/22/2026, 7:38:03 AM4 trades$5301 min
6/16/2026, 8:52:13 AM7 trades$5256 min
5/2/2026, 12:54:28 AM16 trades$5192 min
4/15/2026, 7:29:04 AM4 trades$5161 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
03-21
05-22
10-23
03-01
05-09
08-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M2.7 / H96.3