@Knowyourball
#2,849,178650x8594c920aebb0fdbd76ec860a558017a69037eed
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (1132/2007)13.2/20
1.16x (win $48,064 / loss $41,541)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.87815/15
Sortino 3.04110/10
$+0.0265 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 40 (2007 markets)10/10
160/275 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($3,169 / $6,611)4.4/10
Badges
3Whale
$245,690 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#30,770$1,434Vol: $200,106
🏛️ POLITICS#20,040$868Vol: $143,409
🎭 CULTURE#11,354$295Vol: $57,645
₿ CRYPTO#1,463,856$-67Vol: $49,358
💻 TECH#268,350$-439Vol: $41,425
💰 FINANCE#667,606$-2,005Vol: $31,530
📈 ECONOMICS#688,001$-347Vol: $6,377
📢 MENTIONS#156,989$-38Vol: $648
🌤️ WEATHER#15,167$26Vol: $388
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-301
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$540,398
Total Redeem
$511
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2092
total markets
Trades
4023B / 2531S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~288d
Periods
#2Today
$77
Vol: $120
Week
$5
Vol: $120
Month
$-269
Vol: $19,413
All Time
$-301
Vol: $540,398
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
1132W / 875L events
Realized PnL
$-151
Win Rate
56%
1132W / 875L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-49
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,081 (26.975016523463314% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2,126
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,009
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$946
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$535
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$509
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$483
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$476
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$450
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$420
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?$419
Top Losers
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$-1,713
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-777
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$-776
Penguins vs. Lightning$-567
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$-521
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$-492
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-436
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-434
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$-385
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-332
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.098
Sortino
0.133
HHI
31
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
22.4
Active
Markets / Day
7.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 802s — normal for humanCV 2.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency7.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.11
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.3%
Mid (20-55c)22.6%
High (>55c)70.1%
Sessions
#127/25/2026, 11:46:40 PM16 trades$5,3717 min
1/24/2026, 3:26:10 AM3 trades$4,0682 min
1/9/2026, 9:05:26 PM10 trades$2,76912 min
1/29/2026, 11:37:52 AM1 trades$2,5240 min
4/19/2026, 10:20:10 PM57 trades$2,5117 min
4/17/2026, 5:42:12 AM4 trades$2,3181 min
4/6/2026, 6:38:59 PM7 trades$2,1164 min
12/5/2025, 3:10:31 AM3 trades$2,0209 min
4/27/2026, 1:49:34 PM13 trades$2,0052 min
11/17/2025, 2:05:41 AM1 trades$2,0000 min
11/22/2025, 9:45:29 AM1 trades$2,0000 min
11/30/2025, 12:23:46 PM2 trades$1,9970 min
11/18/2025, 10:02:17 AM3 trades$1,8664 min
3/22/2026, 3:24:23 AM5 trades$1,7712 min
7/31/2026, 7:06:26 PM11 trades$1,7691 min
7/11/2026, 3:05:23 PM31 trades$1,72514 min
1/19/2026, 8:19:00 PM1 trades$1,7190 min
12/9/2025, 9:15:54 PM2 trades$1,7002 min
4/20/2026, 3:06:58 AM18 trades$1,6650 min
8/5/2026, 2:07:50 AM10 trades$1,5741 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-19
12-03
01-17
03-03
04-22
06-15
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 103 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.3 / M22.6 / H70.1