@bigli

#62,08764

0x86d5a471554dc00f21c28991608f96c69bdbd80a

~17d· 18 markets · 438 tradesVol: $75,3932026-08-04 15:18:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (8/15)11.7/20
1.63x (win $2,938 / loss $1,800)10.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.45115/15
Sortino 6.54110/10
$+0.1269 per $1 invested6.3/10
HHI 2051 (15 markets)2.2/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($953 / $2,091)4.9/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,576
Lottery Player
74% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 21.1 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#14,723$184Vol: $26,904
💻 TECH#253,980$-256Vol: $24,997
⚽ SPORTS#55,566$522Vol: $15,654
📈 ECONOMICS#4,042$639Vol: $2,639
💰 FINANCE#6,192$565Vol: $2,565
🌤️ WEATHER#280,211$-68Vol: $2,522

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,576
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$75,393
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
147B / 291S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$-229
Vol: $3,074
Week
$-351
Vol: $12,514
Month
$-351
Vol: $12,514
All Time
$1,576
Vol: $75,393

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
8W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$1,576
Win Rate
53%
8W / 7L
Profit Factor
1.63x
Avg Win
$367
Avg Loss
$-257

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,445 (1.5508122474611319% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,542
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$494
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$410
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$275
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?$147
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?$65
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?$6

Top Losers

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-953
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$-709
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 10?$-32
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 11?$-25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 11?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.172
Sortino
0.263
HHI
2583
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.119
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
44.6%
Top-5 markets
87.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 114s — normal for humanCV 2.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity15 trades/day — very active0.6 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.07
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)74.1%
Mid (20-55c)4.1%
High (>55c)21.8%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 9:43:05 AM64 trades$3,9349 min
7/29/2026, 5:21:59 PM21 trades$3,4555 min
7/23/2026, 6:55:55 PM47 trades$3,2492 min
7/16/2026, 4:00:20 PM34 trades$1,2420 min
7/14/2026, 3:00:13 AM2 trades$1,2050 min
7/6/2026, 9:47:50 PM2 trades$1,1380 min
7/12/2026, 10:05:52 PM9 trades$7410 min
7/13/2026, 5:50:17 PM17 trades$7080 min
7/13/2026, 4:00:53 PM33 trades$69726 min
7/14/2026, 1:26:23 AM30 trades$3625 min
7/30/2026, 1:40:18 AM12 trades$3610 min
7/30/2026, 4:14:44 PM3 trades$3180 min
7/23/2026, 10:41:39 PM7 trades$1680 min
7/14/2026, 1:56:07 AM21 trades$1600 min
7/17/2026, 12:12:16 AM10 trades$1440 min
7/26/2026, 6:59:12 AM5 trades$1440 min
7/24/2026, 7:18:27 AM6 trades$1000 min
8/3/2026, 1:03:12 PM1 trades$730 min
8/4/2026, 2:50:12 PM1 trades$560 min
7/11/2026, 7:34:47 AM3 trades$510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-06
07-10
07-11
07-13
07-14
07-16
07-17
07-18
07-25
07-29
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
46.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.07/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L74.1 / M4.1 / H21.8