@0x87882d…6066

#2,896,72715

0x87882d14cf985c7330389734ea204aaabc58d4b6

~40d· 165 markets · 2283 tradesVol: $76,2552026-08-26 09:56:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (91/158)13.8/20
0.44x (win $1,033 / loss $2,370)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0570/15
Sortino -6.8030/10
$-0.0461 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6565 (158 markets)0/10
11/33 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 2473% of peak ($1,393 / $56)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 14.8 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,586,927$-271Vol: $61,510
CRYPTO#1,528,527$-141Vol: $11,800
📈 ECONOMICS#670,425$-138Vol: $2,944

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-550
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,255
Total Redeem
$2,646
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
165
total markets
Trades
1669B / 614S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-550
Vol: $76,255

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
91W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$-550
Win Rate
58%
91W / 67L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-35

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $401 (0.7295146019226927% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$245
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$107
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$47
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?$39
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$32
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?$31

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-320
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-293
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$-137
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-128
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-126
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$-121
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$-100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-96
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$-62

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.312
Sortino
-0.375
HHI
19211
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
50.8%
Half-Kelly
25.4%
Top-1 market
138.5%
Top-5 markets
147.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
35.9m
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
28.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
34.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 28.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency1.6 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.76
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.4%
Mid (20-55c)62.4%
High (>55c)32.2%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 7:23:45 PM4 trades$20,0122 min
4/7/2026, 5:53:25 PM2 trades$20,0000 min
4/14/2026, 11:06:36 PM13 trades$8360 min
4/16/2026, 7:36:54 PM23 trades$6392 min
4/26/2026, 6:30:34 AM117 trades$58319 min
4/14/2026, 9:05:52 PM2 trades$5290 min
4/16/2026, 3:53:12 PM12 trades$5152 min
4/27/2026, 12:15:24 AM182 trades$5008 min
4/16/2026, 7:44:38 PM7 trades$4965 min
5/3/2026, 2:00:40 AM193 trades$45311 min
5/3/2026, 3:15:22 AM179 trades$43914 min
4/28/2026, 8:15:46 AM68 trades$37212 min
4/26/2026, 11:15:32 PM140 trades$3718 min
4/26/2026, 11:04:18 PM16 trades$3421 min
4/16/2026, 7:57:24 PM8 trades$3275 min
4/16/2026, 4:41:38 PM13 trades$2845 min
4/26/2026, 8:00:20 AM64 trades$2844 min
4/28/2026, 6:45:26 AM117 trades$2757 min
4/10/2026, 12:41:05 AM7 trades$2741 min
4/26/2026, 6:55:54 AM49 trades$2619 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-08
04-16
04-23
04-29
05-07
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.76/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L5.4 / M62.4 / H32.2