@Hugo459440

#37,85264

0x880d2b8f3df6881150d1ef1a1f2ac0767e39adb6

~104d· 623 markets · 6926 tradesVol: $1,630,4442026-08-04 15:17:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (466/592)20/20
1.17x (win $32,453 / loss $27,690)4.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5089.5/15
Sortino 0.9949.9/10
$+0.0088 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 576 (592 markets)9.6/10
66/90 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 81% of peak ($13,731 / $16,962)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+3,011
DCA Master
Avg 12.0 entries/market
Whale
$539,829 invested
Consistent
66/90 profitable days
High Roller
$2,347/day
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#298,720$-2,264Vol: $998,194
🏛️ POLITICS#7,354$3,989Vol: $258,343
CRYPTO#8,389$5,784Vol: $120,641
📈 ECONOMICS#2,801$1,159Vol: $87,040
💰 FINANCE#2,844$1,632Vol: $78,859
SPORTS#1,835,012$-1,165Vol: $74,437
📢 MENTIONS#176,664$-5,865Vol: $7,135
🎭 CULTURE#789,266$-131Vol: $3,945

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,011
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,630,444
Total Redeem
$59,291
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
623
total markets
Trades
2737B / 4189S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~104d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $2,703
Week
$28
Vol: $8,032
Month
$71
Vol: $13,316
All Time
$3,011
Vol: $1,630,444

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
466W / 126L events
Realized PnL
$3,011
Win Rate
79%
466W / 126L
Profit Factor
1.17x
Avg Win
$70
Avg Loss
$-285

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,695 (6.540663325794785% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$15,666
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?$2,330
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1,699
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$964
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$953
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 25?$904
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?$830
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$770
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?$620
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$608

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-6,034
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$-5,643
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-4,710
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$-2,646
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-2,400
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-11?$-1,718
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$-619
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?$-583
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-367
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 6?$-293

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.026
Sortino
0.030
HHI
296
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
29.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.8m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 3.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency2.7 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.01
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)5.4%
High (>55c)89.2%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 6:19:36 AM2 trades$50,0000 min
4/22/2026, 5:32:00 PM2 trades$40,1770 min
4/30/2026, 12:00:40 AM88 trades$30,70630 min
7/8/2026, 1:54:29 PM4 trades$30,2821 min
4/18/2026, 8:07:46 AM36 trades$22,0430 min
6/2/2026, 10:26:58 AM4 trades$20,0000 min
3/29/2026, 2:25:42 PM9 trades$18,96819 min
5/31/2026, 12:17:12 AM20 trades$18,7990 min
3/29/2026, 3:03:58 AM2 trades$18,0495 min
4/15/2026, 12:08:12 AM34 trades$16,0410 min
5/30/2026, 11:34:37 AM16 trades$14,0940 min
4/2/2026, 1:36:55 PM46 trades$13,8922 min
5/18/2026, 11:45:42 PM1 trades$13,0020 min
5/9/2026, 9:50:32 AM40 trades$12,4011 min
7/25/2026, 6:12:57 AM17 trades$11,9843 min
4/17/2026, 1:00:30 PM21 trades$11,1290 min
5/18/2026, 1:22:53 AM19 trades$10,2972 min
5/2/2026, 5:05:18 AM89 trades$10,02112 min
3/30/2026, 11:51:43 PM3 trades$9,7532 min
5/24/2026, 2:55:55 AM52 trades$8,8515 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-03
04-09
05-04
05-24
06-10
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
18% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.01/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M5.4 / H89.2