@willowdillon

#2,573,2035

0x8850e72491855ce3154f0ad6a10201e78c8ead26

~29d· 33 markets · 68 tradesVol: $17,3962026-08-24 12:15:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (8/28)0/20
0.57x (win $181 / loss $317)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5380/15
Sortino -4.5480/10
$-0.0120 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1402 (28 markets)5.5/10
6/24 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($185 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,678,928$-93Vol: $8,828
🏛️ POLITICS#1,202,673$-7Vol: $8,546
🎭 CULTURE#387,007$-0Vol: $11
₿ CRYPTO#709,562$-0Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-99
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,396
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
39B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $10,827
All Time
$-99
Vol: $17,396

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
8W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-99
Win Rate
29%
8W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $146 (1.4657010661838663% of PnL)

Top Winners

Jets vs. Maple Leafs$107
Buccaneers vs. Texans$22
Brewers vs. Padres$17
Padres vs. Cubs$11
Rays vs. Orioles$11
Braves vs. Nationals$6
MLB All-Star Game$5
Blue Jays vs. Orioles$3

Top Losers

South Florida vs. San José State$-150
Hawks vs. Spurs$-103
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-33
Twins vs. Rangers$-16
Tigers vs. Guardians$-10
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$-2
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$-1
Fulham wins the Premier League?$-1
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-1
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.233
Sortino
-0.211
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.254
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
3.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16838s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.46
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)41%
High (>55c)48.7%

Sessions

#12
8/14/2026, 6:49:36 PM4 trades$2,1792 min
8/14/2026, 4:08:10 PM4 trades$2,1682 min
8/15/2026, 9:03:31 AM4 trades$2,1664 min
8/15/2026, 10:54:58 AM6 trades$2,1552 min
8/15/2026, 1:25:36 PM6 trades$1,1120 min
8/13/2026, 4:06:22 PM3 trades$1,0790 min
12/23/2024, 11:27:38 PM1 trades$1500 min
12/19/2024, 10:23:00 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/23/2024, 4:12:20 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/13/2024, 11:58:12 AM1 trades$330 min
9/23/2025, 9:02:36 AM2 trades$274 min
10/2/2025, 9:45:25 AM2 trades$221 min
9/22/2025, 11:20:46 AM1 trades$200 min
9/15/2025, 7:00:14 AM1 trades$170 min
9/16/2025, 11:14:00 AM1 trades$100 min
5/8/2025, 8:01:31 AM1 trades$50 min
5/8/2025, 12:28:15 PM1 trades$50 min
7/14/2025, 1:32:12 PM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2025, 3:57:00 AM1 trades$50 min
5/14/2025, 8:02:12 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
02-24
04-09
04-30
05-14
09-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M41 / H48.7