@forecastication4
#17,494200x885ffdf360e5b0b6e6acb963fb3f8ba2344c8ed9
~14d· 210 markets · 580 tradesVol: $349,1232026-08-04 16:01:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
44% (90/205)7/20
0.72x (win $14,106 / loss $19,507)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4290/15
Sortino -1.9160/10
$-0.1138 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 351 (205 markets)10/10
49/114 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 22472% of peak ($7,822 / $35)0/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+7,640
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
0% sells
High Roller
$3,389/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
100% maker orders
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#6,366$8,075Vol: $349,123
Overview
#1Net PnL
$8,075
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$349,123
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
210
total markets
Trades
580B / 0S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d
Periods
#2Today
$1,257
Vol: $11,347
Week
$531
Vol: $30,325
Month
$118
Vol: $48,064
All Time
$8,075
Vol: $349,123
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
44%
90W / 115L events
Realized PnL
$7,640
Win Rate
44%
90W / 115L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$157
Avg Loss
$-170
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,695 (0.7454081639330958% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-07-23?$2,286
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5$1,894
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)$1,515
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-07-23?$1,256
Will CA Platense win on 2026-07-24?$843
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?$560
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?$525
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-07-28?$466
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-26?$310
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-07-26?$299
Top Losers
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?$-1,780
Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5$-1,664
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26?$-1,340
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-07-22?$-1,050
Winnipeg: Justin Boulais vs Johannus Monday$-1,020
Will Austin FC win on 2026-07-22?$-975
Rafael Devers: Home Runs O/U 0.5$-880
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5$-782
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5$-705
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-26?$-590
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.074
Sortino
-0.084
HHI
331
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.117
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
29.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
41.4
Active
Markets / Day
15.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.2m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 405s — normal for humanCV 2.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock41 trades/day — high frequency15 markets/day — mass coverage100% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.77
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.8%
Mid (20-55c)38.3%
High (>55c)39%
Sessions
#127/22/2026, 3:35:55 PM7 trades$4,6800 min
7/22/2026, 10:49:25 PM9 trades$3,4545 min
7/24/2026, 7:39:36 PM26 trades$2,5877 min
7/24/2026, 11:17:13 AM5 trades$1,5731 min
8/2/2026, 12:06:00 AM27 trades$1,4218 min
7/26/2026, 10:23:03 AM5 trades$1,3405 min
7/23/2026, 9:44:13 PM4 trades$1,2860 min
7/21/2026, 2:29:42 PM7 trades$1,1503 min
7/24/2026, 7:10:07 PM6 trades$1,1440 min
7/23/2026, 12:00:15 AM1 trades$1,0500 min
7/21/2026, 8:18:36 PM6 trades$1,0200 min
7/23/2026, 10:06:25 PM3 trades$9870 min
7/23/2026, 12:49:03 AM1 trades$9750 min
7/24/2026, 6:47:37 PM1 trades$8800 min
8/1/2026, 7:30:15 PM3 trades$8373 min
7/25/2026, 10:25:30 AM3 trades$8320 min
7/22/2026, 5:08:25 PM8 trades$7935 min
8/1/2026, 11:57:08 PM10 trades$7791 min
7/22/2026, 9:14:16 PM1 trades$7050 min
8/1/2026, 10:46:27 PM3 trades$6200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-20 22:40:00
2026-07-24 19:45:00
2026-07-25 23:15:00
2026-07-27 15:00:00
2026-07-30 17:00:00
2026-08-01 17:10:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.77/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.8 / M38.3 / H39