@arishone

#3,005,98512

0x88a1785fdf046369e9b244fca81bd26bed41a17b

~186d· 770 markets · 7465 tradesVol: $328,143 @arishcrafts2026-08-04 22:47:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (117/692)0/20
0.31x (win $3,652 / loss $11,648)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5260/15
Sortino -5.4480/10
$-0.4119 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 158 (692 markets)10/10
44/119 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 16517% of peak ($8,045 / $49)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,652,447$-2,236Vol: $307,634
💰 FINANCE#629,927$-90Vol: $11,935
🎭 CULTURE#82,566$6Vol: $3,087
SPORTS#307,990$7Vol: $2,034
📈 ECONOMICS#641,481$-36Vol: $1,993
🏛️ POLITICS#67,702$90Vol: $1,182
🌤️ WEATHER#219,051$-3Vol: $212
💻 TECH#175,515$-0Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,263
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$328,143
Total Redeem
$829
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
770
total markets
Trades
5750B / 1715S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~186d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $1,629
Week
$46
Vol: $2,268
Month
$-172
Vol: $2,876
All Time
$-2,263
Vol: $328,143

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
117W / 575L events
Realized PnL
$-2,263
Win Rate
17%
117W / 575L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,353 (0.597778867867828% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?$555
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$437
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$360
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?$234
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?$230
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$185
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 14?$184
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20?$170
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?$131
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?$116

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$-1,186
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$-1,071
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-770
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$-452
Will Solana reach $100 in May?$-295
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-235
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$-228
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 5?$-221
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?$-216
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 24?$-195

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.288
Sortino
-0.246
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.522
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
19.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.9
Active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.0m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 260s — normal for humanCV 5.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock38 trades/day — high frequency3.9 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.84
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71%
Mid (20-55c)17.1%
High (>55c)11.9%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 3:39:36 PM9 trades$1,5172 min
5/4/2026, 2:10:00 AM6 trades$1,5020 min
5/5/2026, 6:52:56 PM14 trades$1,4006 min
7/13/2026, 3:49:37 PM5 trades$1,0621 min
5/4/2026, 7:49:56 PM4 trades$1,0002 min
6/22/2026, 11:34:29 AM16 trades$9041 min
5/4/2026, 12:53:20 AM74 trades$82842 min
5/16/2026, 6:44:46 AM18 trades$7778 min
5/4/2026, 2:34:56 AM29 trades$70117 min
5/23/2026, 9:00:26 PM21 trades$7004 min
6/18/2026, 4:00:10 PM34 trades$6999 min
5/1/2026, 12:50:36 PM6 trades$6651 min
4/24/2026, 12:12:32 PM12 trades$6614 min
5/14/2026, 5:36:21 PM12 trades$62711 min
5/7/2026, 8:47:52 PM10 trades$6263 min
4/24/2026, 8:57:48 AM48 trades$58225 min
7/9/2026, 8:09:56 AM10 trades$5537 min
4/20/2026, 9:42:02 AM6 trades$5380 min
5/1/2026, 1:03:28 PM4 trades$5001 min
6/10/2026, 11:15:40 AM5 trades$5005 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
02-21
03-18
05-04
05-23
06-22
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 153 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.84/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71 / M17.1 / H11.9