notoriousdo

@notoriousdo

#9,53388

0x891dd95f8ad428e48ebf2d1bbdd1b991eea9dd26

~169d· 393 markets · 4628 tradesVol: $2,213,2292026-08-04 23:41:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (223/393)13.4/20
2.55x (win $397,079 / loss $155,952)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.98715/15
Sortino 11.67810/10
$+0.4119 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 334 (393 markets)10/10
64/128 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($38,549 / $241,127)10/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+16,148
DCA Master
Avg 15.8 entries/market
Whale
$585,407 invested
High Roller
$1,964/day
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

4
SPORTS#2,205$27,444Vol: $1,685,156
CRYPTO#1,670,540$-6,805Vol: $141,634
🏛️ POLITICS#24,085$625Vol: $29,936
💰 FINANCE#38,811$22Vol: $1,200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,148
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,213,229
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
393
total markets
Trades
3423B / 1205S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~169d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
223W / 170L events
Realized PnL
$16,148
Win Rate
57%
223W / 170L
Profit Factor
2.55x
Avg Win
$1,781
Avg Loss
$-928

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $275,424 (17.05578313185864% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$162,339
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81,562
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$31,523
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$21,868
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12,631
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$11,832
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$4,513
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$3,689
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$2,416
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,149

Top Losers

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-32,481
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$-7,002
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $-6,896
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-6,083
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?$-4,864
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-3,406
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-3,229
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$-3,197
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$-3,062
Knicks vs. Spurs$-3,056

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.104
Sortino
0.457
HHI
711
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.295
Kelly %
0.4%
Half-Kelly
0.2%
Top-1 market
12.6%
Top-5 markets
51.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.5m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 102s — normal for humanCV 3.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active1.3 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)35.2%
High (>55c)55%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 6:15:18 AM25 trades$18,08918 min
5/18/2026, 1:44:07 AM19 trades$16,0713 min
7/14/2026, 8:58:58 PM15 trades$14,0025 min
5/31/2026, 2:48:07 AM5 trades$12,9770 min
5/17/2026, 10:16:19 PM6 trades$11,0780 min
5/18/2026, 9:40:49 AM2 trades$9,4000 min
7/17/2026, 12:50:03 PM2 trades$8,9910 min
5/10/2026, 5:38:14 PM1 trades$8,4820 min
5/18/2026, 8:55:15 PM3 trades$7,9110 min
5/5/2026, 8:04:58 AM13 trades$7,5180 min
5/18/2026, 11:27:06 AM1 trades$7,0450 min
5/18/2026, 4:03:01 PM1 trades$7,0200 min
5/18/2026, 9:50:13 AM25 trades$6,96511 min
5/18/2026, 3:41:38 AM16 trades$6,8391 min
4/30/2026, 1:16:00 PM4 trades$6,7330 min
5/20/2026, 10:52:54 AM2 trades$6,7100 min
5/6/2026, 8:53:32 PM2 trades$6,1860 min
6/14/2026, 11:18:51 AM2 trades$6,1290 min
4/30/2026, 10:28:12 AM3 trades$5,8393 min
5/17/2026, 11:43:17 PM1 trades$5,7240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-25
10-31
12-17
01-18
03-22
06-06
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M35.2 / H55