bobrenokli

@bobrenokli

#112,53218

0x8a08129a564690eba62f19b34a37bdfdb89a0eec

~154d· 104 markets · 7132 tradesVol: $485,4612026-08-02 06:32:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (29/61)8.8/20
0.29x (win $520 / loss $1,778)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4690/15
Sortino -4.4660/10
$-0.1922 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1693 (61 markets)4/10
25/49 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 1507% of peak ($1,347 / $89)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+531
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sells
DCA Master
Avg 11.5 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#31,872$372Vol: $453,696
SPORTS#313,206$7Vol: $13,907
💰 FINANCE#19,099$91Vol: $9,688
🎭 CULTURE#40,275$30Vol: $1,506
📈 ECONOMICS#144,205$0Vol: $976
💻 TECH#14,678$16Vol: $583

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$531
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$485,461
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
6736B / 396S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~154d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-44
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$531
Vol: $485,461

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
29W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$531
Win Rate
48%
29W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-57

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $267 (0.5030811269198153% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$108
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$84
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$75
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?$63
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?$20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$18
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$16

Top Losers

World Cup: Most Goals Record Broken?$-677
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$-136
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$-126
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$-102
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-97
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-90
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$-86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$-81
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$-57
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.232
Sortino
-0.182
HHI
119
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.477
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
18.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.4m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 270s — normal for humanCV 5.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock35 trades/day — high frequency0.5 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.49
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.6%
Mid (20-55c)1.1%
High (>55c)55.3%

Sessions

#12
5/26/2026, 7:39:40 PM7 trades$1,7041 min
6/17/2026, 3:22:09 AM9 trades$1,4001 min
5/17/2026, 3:51:17 PM6 trades$1,0370 min
6/13/2026, 8:17:18 AM3 trades$5000 min
7/14/2026, 8:44:52 PM7 trades$4078 min
5/12/2026, 9:08:49 AM2 trades$4000 min
7/4/2026, 8:57:52 PM11 trades$3450 min
7/1/2026, 2:53:17 PM3 trades$3310 min
6/26/2026, 8:58:05 PM2 trades$3300 min
6/15/2026, 7:59:06 AM18 trades$2210 min
6/25/2026, 9:34:40 PM5 trades$2200 min
6/28/2026, 7:57:34 PM4 trades$2160 min
6/13/2026, 7:03:37 PM11 trades$2131 min
4/28/2026, 7:16:40 PM3 trades$2110 min
5/6/2026, 10:04:50 AM4 trades$2000 min
7/13/2026, 7:16:50 AM1 trades$1980 min
7/27/2026, 11:15:48 AM7 trades$1942 min
7/15/2026, 7:03:58 PM18 trades$1871 min
4/24/2026, 3:32:12 PM22 trades$1510 min
5/26/2026, 3:12:33 PM5 trades$1385 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
03-16
04-15
05-09
05-26
06-14
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 82 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.49/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.6 / M1.1 / H55.3