@paragonfalcon
#2,018,848710x8aa2b1c7bd45c42c40871a71d4c9557a4975e205
~19d· 62 markets · 398 tradesVol: $34,5002026-08-02 04:07:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (8/16)10/20
40.50x (win $30 / loss $1)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.81015/15
Sortino 380.17510/10
$+0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2201 (16 markets)1.5/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($1 / $29)10/10
Badges
2Consistent
6/9 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Categories
1₿ CRYPTO#743,712$-0Vol: $165
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-17
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,500
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
177B / 221S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
8W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-17
Win Rate
50%
8W / 8L
Profit Factor
40.47x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-0
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28 (1.609375% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$16
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$6
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$1
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0
Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?$0
Top Losers
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-0
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-0
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.435
Sortino
19.257
HHI
98
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
34.2%
Half-Kelly
17.1%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
17.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.5m
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 521s — normal for humanCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.94
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)95.5%
Sessions
#126/30/2026, 9:17:02 AM3 trades$1,1060 min
7/1/2026, 6:22:32 AM9 trades$1,0940 min
7/1/2026, 5:23:14 AM2 trades$1,0840 min
7/1/2026, 7:14:58 AM12 trades$1,0730 min
7/1/2026, 5:55:44 AM2 trades$1,0700 min
6/29/2026, 4:03:31 PM4 trades$1,0680 min
6/29/2026, 4:42:44 PM2 trades$1,0650 min
6/30/2026, 9:03:38 AM2 trades$1,0470 min
6/29/2026, 3:14:19 PM2 trades$1,0380 min
6/29/2026, 3:29:59 PM2 trades$1,0380 min
6/29/2026, 3:36:29 PM2 trades$1,0350 min
6/29/2026, 4:19:01 PM2 trades$1,0270 min
6/30/2026, 7:31:14 AM2 trades$1,0170 min
7/1/2026, 6:50:04 AM2 trades$1,0100 min
5/13/2026, 4:23:03 AM11 trades$9900 min
5/13/2026, 4:04:37 AM5 trades$9650 min
5/12/2026, 1:53:48 AM3 trades$9250 min
5/12/2026, 3:31:30 AM2 trades$9210 min
5/13/2026, 2:02:34 AM2 trades$9210 min
5/13/2026, 3:48:33 AM2 trades$9190 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-01
04-05
05-12
05-14
05-16
06-29
06-30
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.5 / M0 / H95.5