@Mustafalafel

#13,63037

0x8c0b637b43ccbd2069b0f789b8439777fdb4f0fb

~47d· 142 markets · 3823 tradesVol: $2,680,3332026-08-01 22:19:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (58/93)16.2/20
1.00x (win $47,396 / loss $47,181)2.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0290.5/15
Sortino 0.0380.4/10
$+0.0007 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 410 (93 markets)10/10
22/38 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 102% of peak ($19,926 / $19,566)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+10,394
DCA Master
Avg 27.8 entries/market
Whale
$296,000 invested
High Roller
$5,920/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#5,932$5,456Vol: $1,501,867
SPORTS#17,787$2,440Vol: $1,112,215
📈 ECONOMICS#4,020$646Vol: $31,352
🎭 CULTURE#4,814$1,066Vol: $17,273
💻 TECH#3,874$206Vol: $6,942
💰 FINANCE#6,640$517Vol: $4,451
CRYPTO#46,182$428Vol: $3,806
🌤️ WEATHER#19,567$14Vol: $2,138
📢 MENTIONS#11,109$34Vol: $288

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10,807
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,680,333
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
142
total markets
Trades
3115B / 708S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,572
Vol: $122,032
Week
$6,170
Vol: $368,994
Month
$1,572
Vol: $122,032
All Time
$10,807
Vol: $2,680,333

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
62%
58W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$10,394
Win Rate
62%
58W / 35L
Profit Factor
1x
Avg Win
$817
Avg Loss
$-1,348

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,947 (2.400069461013323% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$8,752
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$8,153
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$8,043
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2,789
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$2,095
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,012
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1,947
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$1,674
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1,654
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,403

Top Losers

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-13,575
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10,090
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-7,742
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-2,780
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$-2,543
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-1,623
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,367
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,203
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-902
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-884

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.002
Sortino
0.001
HHI
208
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
7.3%
Half-Kelly
3.6%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
22.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
76.5
Very active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.8m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 3.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock76 trades/day — mass trading2.8 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.9%
Mid (20-55c)13.9%
High (>55c)60.3%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 6:37:44 AM7 trades$15,5750 min
6/19/2026, 7:29:55 PM70 trades$13,00918 min
6/14/2026, 9:27:49 PM31 trades$11,21819 min
6/18/2026, 6:55:26 PM24 trades$10,4749 min
8/1/2026, 3:42:48 AM10 trades$9,8977 min
6/19/2026, 9:00:55 PM59 trades$9,66010 min
6/16/2026, 6:44:30 AM12 trades$8,8884 min
6/17/2026, 1:42:02 PM17 trades$8,5646 min
6/15/2026, 1:31:19 PM30 trades$7,81921 min
7/31/2026, 7:31:23 PM4 trades$6,2780 min
6/16/2026, 11:36:05 PM9 trades$6,0060 min
6/14/2026, 4:17:52 PM52 trades$5,53728 min
6/25/2026, 1:17:32 PM34 trades$5,42121 min
6/19/2026, 8:38:59 PM38 trades$5,41012 min
6/14/2026, 10:21:27 PM27 trades$4,69313 min
6/15/2026, 6:15:06 PM9 trades$4,2891 min
6/17/2026, 2:43:05 PM10 trades$4,0524 min
7/9/2026, 9:40:44 PM98 trades$3,90995 min
7/10/2026, 5:24:29 PM2 trades$3,8500 min
6/16/2026, 6:08:49 AM9 trades$3,7860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-19
06-27
07-04
07-12
07-23
07-31
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.9 / M13.9 / H60.3