@outtodata

#2,755,69616

0x8c765fb0e21d5eddeb3293b8840eda9586bee9b5

~20d· 500 markets · 1492 tradesVol: $12,9962026-08-26 09:14:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (166/500)1.6/20
0.99x (win $1,281 / loss $1,299)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4860/15
Sortino -0.7420/10
$-0.0093 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 52 (500 markets)10/10
8/20 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 116% of peak ($151 / $130)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
97% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

1
₿ CRYPTO#1,563,491$-215Vol: $12,996

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-215
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,996
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
500
total markets
Trades
1311B / 181S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Month
$-91
Vol: $4,634
All Time
$-215
Vol: $12,996

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
166W / 334L events
Realized PnL
$-187
Win Rate
33%
166W / 334L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $108 (0.5752070531659096% of PnL)

Top Winners

XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$40
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$36
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$32
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$24
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$21
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$14
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$13
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$12
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$12

Top Losers

Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-13
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-12
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$-12
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-10
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$-10
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.041
HHI
24
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.9
Active
Markets / Day
7.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.6m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 0.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency7.4 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)93.7%
High (>55c)2.7%

Sessions

#12
8/9/2026, 5:44:16 PM7 trades$1081 min
6/10/2026, 5:55:27 AM41 trades$942 min
6/10/2026, 7:09:16 AM37 trades$764 min
6/10/2026, 6:18:43 AM42 trades$733 min
6/11/2026, 6:57:09 AM21 trades$416 min
8/9/2026, 8:24:25 PM4 trades$400 min
6/10/2026, 6:30:25 AM8 trades$400 min
6/12/2026, 4:03:03 PM11 trades$344 min
6/10/2026, 9:40:54 PM14 trades$341 min
8/9/2026, 8:29:27 PM4 trades$280 min
6/10/2026, 1:30:15 PM13 trades$260 min
6/12/2026, 4:16:46 PM14 trades$250 min
6/9/2026, 10:48:04 PM11 trades$250 min
6/23/2026, 2:35:08 PM11 trades$235 min
6/23/2026, 11:00:04 AM13 trades$232 min
6/10/2026, 10:29:27 AM5 trades$200 min
6/12/2026, 7:01:58 PM14 trades$202 min
6/16/2026, 2:12:55 PM12 trades$194 min
6/15/2026, 10:45:39 PM15 trades$182 min
6/11/2026, 1:31:31 AM12 trades$186 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-12
06-15
06-18
06-22
08-09
08-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 63 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.98/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.5 / M93.7 / H2.7