@0x8ca3…263b

30

0x8ca3e9dd3c406f8425e9e87972e048d5b29c263b

~25d· 99 markets · 154 trades2026-10-08 03:02:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (80/93)20/20
0.73x (win $4 / loss $6)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0620/15
Sortino -1.0870/10
$-0.0004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2570 (93 markets)0/10
22/23 profitable days (96%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($6 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Consistent
22/23 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-121
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,869
Total Redeem
$93
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
99
total markets
Trades
103B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
79W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-121
Win Rate
86%
79W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.013728084684088655% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11?$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13?$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$0
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$0

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$-4
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.054
Sortino
-72.609
HHI
2104
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.000
Kelly %
76.4%
Half-Kelly
38.2%
Top-1 market
40.8%
Top-5 markets
64.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
38s
between trades
Night Trading
84%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 3.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)84% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.63
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
1/9/2026, 3:01:48 AM6 trades$4,7313 min
1/12/2026, 2:00:20 AM4 trades$8352 min
6/10/2026, 5:54:28 AM14 trades$1812 min
4/2/2026, 3:13:01 AM16 trades$1471 min
5/29/2026, 4:41:02 AM2 trades$1300 min
3/9/2026, 5:36:35 AM11 trades$982 min
7/22/2026, 6:26:30 AM7 trades$921 min
2/2/2026, 1:36:16 AM5 trades$781 min
4/30/2026, 1:35:48 PM2 trades$700 min
3/28/2026, 3:10:49 AM5 trades$671 min
3/21/2026, 4:23:51 AM5 trades$671 min
6/12/2026, 4:30:31 AM7 trades$672 min
5/11/2026, 2:20:17 AM8 trades$651 min
3/3/2026, 1:50:39 AM5 trades$653 min
8/5/2026, 2:03:39 AM8 trades$551 min
1/16/2026, 6:55:06 AM4 trades$551 min
9/3/2026, 4:51:39 AM2 trades$550 min
5/29/2026, 4:52:30 AM4 trades$530 min
1/20/2026, 6:14:22 AM3 trades$531 min
4/7/2026, 1:23:13 AM8 trades$501 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
01-25
02-09
03-21
04-07
05-29
06-27
08-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100