@romanew-7-spread05

#59,06872

0x8d0c3509c152e1b4abfa470b0868ec3cce26e1ce

~205d· 1797 markets · 3342 tradesVol: $38,6542026-08-03 00:21:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (510/1591)1/20
1.62x (win $2,094 / loss $1,292)10.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.37115/15
Sortino 9.97710/10
$+0.3121 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 43 (1591 markets)10/10
107/195 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($241 / $1,011)9.2/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,686
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#72,030$304Vol: $12,727
💰 FINANCE#7,993$406Vol: $7,971
🎭 CULTURE#11,568$272Vol: $4,839
📢 MENTIONS#9,630$45Vol: $4,215
CRYPTO#61,671$222Vol: $3,314
🏛️ POLITICS#44,847$198Vol: $2,468
📈 ECONOMICS#14,049$81Vol: $987
🌤️ WEATHER#8,684$70Vol: $895
💻 TECH#34,477$2Vol: $115

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,689
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,654
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1797
total markets
Trades
2658B / 684S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~205d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $0
Week
$-60
Vol: $0
Month
$-48
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,689
Vol: $38,654

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
510W / 1081L events
Realized PnL
$1,686
Win Rate
32%
510W / 1081L
Profit Factor
1.62x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $225 (0.13315976443656333% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Michigan State be a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament?$150
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?$38
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?$36
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on May 9, 2026?$35
Will Ben Johns / Gabriel Tardio win the 2026 PPA: Carvana Mesa Cup (Men's Doubles) tournament?$30
Will 290 to 319 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$30
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?$29
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $7.00 end of February?$28
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of July?$23
Will Trump say "Star" this week?$23

Top Losers

Will Hilary Benn be in the Burnham cabinet?$-38
Will USD reach 18,500 Indonesian rupiah by June 30?$-17
Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?$-11
Will Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit in June?$-11
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-11
Will "The Invite" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.228
Sortino
0.444
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.388
Kelly %
9.1%
Half-Kelly
4.5%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1872s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal3.7 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.85
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)83.4%
Mid (20-55c)5.5%
High (>55c)11%

Sessions

#12
2/2/2026, 1:18:36 AM23 trades$389 min
7/20/2026, 4:47:15 PM3 trades$382 min
2/18/2026, 6:50:10 AM10 trades$3816 min
2/18/2026, 1:51:41 AM5 trades$285 min
2/22/2026, 10:37:30 PM3 trades$280 min
6/13/2026, 5:20:54 AM3 trades$200 min
4/12/2026, 10:18:15 AM3 trades$191 min
2/18/2026, 6:02:56 PM4 trades$196 min
7/16/2026, 5:57:16 PM3 trades$171 min
7/15/2026, 10:20:05 AM1 trades$160 min
5/27/2026, 9:54:35 PM1 trades$160 min
7/7/2026, 1:22:34 PM4 trades$165 min
2/13/2026, 12:02:43 AM1 trades$160 min
6/19/2026, 1:24:23 PM1 trades$150 min
3/8/2026, 8:40:25 PM5 trades$158 min
2/25/2026, 9:01:48 AM16 trades$1523 min
7/11/2026, 8:13:29 PM1 trades$150 min
5/7/2026, 4:51:34 PM2 trades$150 min
2/25/2026, 11:44:10 AM15 trades$1412 min
2/18/2026, 7:52:36 PM5 trades$145 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
02-09
03-13
04-15
05-19
06-21
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 61 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.85/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L83.4 / M5.5 / H11