@0x8e38…1a4a

61

0x8e38316e397bac51bbe1db140884f7c93ae81a4a

~70d· 248 markets · 1297 trades2026-08-05 18:26:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (64/196)1.3/20
1.97x (win $1,513 / loss $770)14.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.14115/15
Sortino 12.84710/10
$+0.1906 per $1 invested9.5/10
HHI 3677 (196 markets)0/10
16/48 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($173 / $916)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+120
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$120
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,901
Total Redeem
$26
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
248
total markets
Trades
579B / 718S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~70d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
64W / 132L events
Realized PnL
$120
Win Rate
33%
64W / 132L
Profit Factor
1.97x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,086 (9.05777407253022% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$943
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$82
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$61
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$15

Top Losers

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$-87
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$-63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$-40
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$-28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-22
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$-21
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$-20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.111
Sortino
0.651
HHI
5236
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.146
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
71.5%
Top-5 markets
88.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 6.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.2
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.2%
High (>55c)34.2%

Sessions

#12
4/14/2026, 12:17:31 PM2 trades$2,9990 min
4/12/2026, 4:54:45 PM13 trades$1,8147 min
4/13/2026, 5:46:33 AM14 trades$4158 min
4/27/2026, 8:21:50 AM15 trades$3964 min
6/19/2026, 8:45:40 AM11 trades$3471 min
4/19/2026, 10:33:32 AM18 trades$3041 min
6/11/2026, 2:57:22 AM30 trades$28412 min
4/17/2026, 2:03:48 PM12 trades$2672 min
4/30/2026, 9:02:56 PM55 trades$24525 min
6/22/2026, 5:31:37 PM9 trades$2011 min
4/25/2026, 4:22:12 PM26 trades$19117 min
6/11/2026, 3:18:39 AM7 trades$1916 min
6/11/2026, 2:45:45 AM8 trades$1856 min
4/26/2026, 8:22:00 AM35 trades$18227 min
6/17/2026, 8:11:35 PM17 trades$1613 min
6/9/2026, 2:47:22 PM30 trades$1598 min
1/20/2026, 6:43:14 PM4 trades$1554 min
4/28/2026, 1:16:32 PM47 trades$15118 min
7/1/2026, 8:21:19 PM10 trades$1514 min
6/9/2026, 8:12:12 PM8 trades$1381 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
03-03
04-22
05-02
05-18
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.2/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.7 / M28.2 / H34.2