@walruss

#2,680,2411

0x8e5c32b348f3bda812ebcb4623afc155c2bb10ef

~20d· 18 markets · 505 tradesVol: $3,6672026-08-26 07:13:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (4/14)0/20
0.74x (win $445 / loss $598)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4620/15
Sortino -2.2080/10
$-0.1514 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2418 (14 markets)0.4/10
4/12 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 141% of peak ($538 / $380)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,555,800$-149Vol: $2,445
📈 ECONOMICS#558,542$-4Vol: $788
💰 FINANCE#75,586$5Vol: $296
📢 MENTIONS#101,686$-2Vol: $92
₿ CRYPTO#374,154$2Vol: $46

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-148
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,667
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
404B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$8
Vol: $559
All Time
$-148
Vol: $3,667

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
4W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-160
Win Rate
29%
4W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$111
Avg Loss
$-60

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $443 (2.7640715576887116% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$437
Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$4
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?$3
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?$1

Top Losers

Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$-283
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-236
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-38
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?$-17
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-14
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$-8
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$-1
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-1
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.073
Sortino
-0.106
HHI
1419
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.208
Kelly %
6.2%
Half-Kelly
3.1%
Top-1 market
27.9%
Top-5 markets
65.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
39.1m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.6%
Mid (20-55c)50.2%
High (>55c)14.1%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 7:18:15 AM136 trades$54442 min
10/30/2024, 1:28:06 PM4 trades$1356 min
10/4/2024, 6:07:10 PM41 trades$10919 min
7/30/2026, 8:06:29 AM28 trades$927 min
10/30/2024, 12:50:50 PM2 trades$681 min
10/4/2024, 7:16:43 PM20 trades$528 min
10/4/2024, 7:31:47 PM20 trades$524 min
10/4/2024, 8:03:18 PM13 trades$345 min
10/30/2024, 1:21:14 PM1 trades$340 min
10/4/2024, 6:36:25 PM12 trades$328 min
7/30/2026, 8:44:03 PM4 trades$224 min
8/6/2026, 7:25:44 AM4 trades$170 min
8/7/2026, 12:51:57 AM2 trades$170 min
7/30/2026, 9:51:02 PM4 trades$170 min
10/4/2024, 5:35:46 AM30 trades$179 min
8/4/2024, 12:53:48 AM17 trades$167 min
8/4/2024, 4:55:29 PM11 trades$154 min
8/3/2024, 9:03:30 PM24 trades$158 min
7/30/2026, 1:07:20 PM5 trades$142 min
8/7/2026, 12:43:30 AM2 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-20
07-23
07-26
08-06
10-23
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.14/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.6 / M50.2 / H14.1