@royceai1989
#86,609710x8e6bd19b50b9b97e0cf183b338348546959d2ffc
~101d· 187 markets · 2284 tradesVol: $59,7602026-10-08 01:26:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (61/142)6.5/20
2.10x (win $2,134 / loss $1,017)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.96715/15
Sortino 6.03110/10
$+0.1506 per $1 invested7.5/10
HHI 383 (142 markets)10/10
27/61 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 55% of peak ($611 / $1,117)3.1/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+989
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,569,505$-175Vol: $29,866
₿ CRYPTO#38,350$581Vol: $14,306
⚽ SPORTS#1,440,927$-16Vol: $7,867
🎭 CULTURE#11,671$268Vol: $5,057
📈 ECONOMICS#7,485$236Vol: $2,119
💰 FINANCE#606,214$-21Vol: $546
Overview
#1Net PnL
$873
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$59,760
Total Redeem
$202
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
187
total markets
Trades
1340B / 944S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~101d
Periods
#2Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$13
Vol: $1,961
Month
$158
Vol: $8,045
All Time
$873
Vol: $59,760
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
61W / 81L events
Realized PnL
$989
Win Rate
43%
61W / 81L
Profit Factor
2.1x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-14
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,153 (1.1651402114797516% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?$669
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$295
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?$189
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$156
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$112
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$94
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$87
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$70
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$48
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$46
Top Losers
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$-399
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-189
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$-50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-23
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-21
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.154
Sortino
0.234
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.284
Kelly %
13.0%
Half-Kelly
6.5%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
18.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 636s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.12
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)37.9%
Mid (20-55c)33%
High (>55c)29.1%
Sessions
#124/15/2026, 2:22:46 AM16 trades$6231 min
6/1/2026, 1:15:51 PM17 trades$5692 min
8/19/2026, 1:28:06 PM7 trades$5150 min
8/20/2026, 10:28:07 AM8 trades$5100 min
4/27/2026, 4:42:04 PM2 trades$4220 min
4/20/2026, 9:23:00 AM14 trades$3361 min
8/11/2026, 7:27:39 PM2 trades$3240 min
6/1/2026, 3:16:03 PM11 trades$3131 min
8/19/2026, 12:28:03 PM4 trades$2560 min
6/13/2026, 11:15:36 AM6 trades$2520 min
6/17/2026, 9:15:41 AM5 trades$2214 min
6/9/2026, 4:15:51 AM2 trades$2170 min
4/13/2026, 7:33:33 AM21 trades$20014 min
6/8/2026, 4:11:34 PM3 trades$1344 min
6/2/2026, 2:16:06 PM16 trades$1271 min
8/20/2026, 3:28:09 PM7 trades$1140 min
6/22/2026, 9:19:07 AM2 trades$1120 min
6/29/2026, 10:28:58 AM2 trades$1120 min
8/19/2026, 1:06:30 PM1 trades$980 min
8/20/2026, 6:28:06 AM5 trades$980 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
03-09
03-22
04-07
04-22
06-03
08-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.12/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.9 / M33 / H29.1