murraydeshawn

@murraydeshawn

#2,851,8908

0x8f75836ef9471beb3fac5db1dd2a7e9b7595e42c

~30d· 35 markets · 68 tradesVol: $17,2732026-09-09 11:25:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (9/30)0/20
0.25x (win $99 / loss $392)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8000/15
Sortino -4.7020/10
$-0.0272 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1089 (30 markets)7.1/10
8/25 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 3887% of peak ($358 / $9)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,239,429$-8Vol: $11,936
⚽ SPORTS#1,795,889$-334Vol: $5,325
₿ CRYPTO#708,520$-0Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-342
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,273
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
41B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-342
Vol: $17,273

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
9W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-342
Win Rate
30%
9W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $51 (0.1477176484331649% of PnL)

Top Winners

Buccaneers vs. Texans$23
Twins vs. Rangers$15
Rays vs. Orioles$13
Tigers vs. Guardians$12
Blue Jays vs. Rays$11
Reds vs. Cardinals$10
Buccaneers vs. Falcons$9
Blue Jays vs. Orioles$4
MLB All-Star Game$2

Top Losers

Blues vs. Red Wings$-106
Chiefs vs. Steelers$-104
Hawks vs. Spurs$-103
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-39
Brewers vs. Padres$-18
Mets vs. Cubs$-16
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$-3
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$-1
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Fulham wins the Premier League?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.246
Sortino
-0.202
HHI
3
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.549
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
3.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.9h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 15656s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.47
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)43.9%
High (>55c)46.3%

Sessions

#12
8/14/2026, 7:05:37 PM4 trades$2,0602 min
8/15/2026, 8:58:31 AM4 trades$2,0573 min
8/14/2026, 4:03:57 PM4 trades$2,0552 min
8/15/2026, 10:50:31 AM8 trades$2,0472 min
8/13/2026, 3:49:03 PM2 trades$1,0300 min
8/15/2026, 1:12:46 PM2 trades$1,0250 min
12/23/2024, 1:49:06 AM1 trades$1060 min
12/23/2024, 11:00:52 PM1 trades$1040 min
12/19/2024, 9:44:28 AM1 trades$1030 min
9/23/2025, 9:00:44 AM3 trades$414 min
12/13/2024, 10:49:01 AM1 trades$390 min
9/22/2025, 11:20:48 AM1 trades$180 min
9/15/2025, 6:35:00 AM1 trades$180 min
9/16/2025, 11:22:28 AM1 trades$110 min
9/17/2025, 1:55:24 PM1 trades$110 min
10/2/2025, 9:30:23 AM1 trades$110 min
10/3/2024, 1:49:55 PM1 trades$110 min
4/3/2025, 9:56:53 AM2 trades$71 min
5/8/2025, 7:59:27 AM1 trades$60 min
5/8/2025, 12:26:29 PM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-03
12-23
04-09
04-30
05-14
09-16
10-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 221 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.8 / M43.9 / H46.3